Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 060119 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
919 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2015

...RAINY EVENING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

.UPDATE...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS RETREATING TOWARDS THE COAST THIS
EVENING AFTER ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY OF CONVECTION ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. HAVE RAISED POPS ACCORDINGLY AND ISSUED
UPDATED ZONES. CURRENT GUIDANCE TRENDS TOWARDS THE COASTAL STORMS
MOVING OFFSHORE AND DIMINISHING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WHILE
SOME REMNANT CONVECTION COULD REMAIN ALONG A BAND STRETCHING FROM
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SHORES OF LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...TOWARDS THE SPACE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
BOUTS OF IFR/LIFR WITH THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PUSHING OUT ALONG
THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...AFFECTING TERMINALS FROM SRQ
SOUTHWARD. CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED TO VFR AT TPA...PIE...AND
LAL...WITH THE REST OF THE TERMINALS TO FOLLOW SUIT OVER THE
COMING HOURS. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT OVERNIGHT...WITH MORE
CONVECTION EXPECTED AGAIN ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
OTHER THAN SOME UPDATES TO THE FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFFSHORE...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN
THIS ISSUANCE. THREAT TO MARINERS FROM STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH IN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  77  92  77  92 /  40  50  20  50
FMY  75  93  74  93 /  80  50  20  40
GIF  75  94  74  93 /  50  70  20  50
SRQ  75  92  75  92 /  80  40  20  30
BKV  72  93  72  93 /  30  50  20  50
SPG  78  92  79  92 /  40  40  20  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...02/GARCIA
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES...69/CLOSE
DATA COLLECTION/UPPER AIR...74/WYNN



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