Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 280100
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
900 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.UPDATE...
West coast sea breeze has remained pinned close to the coast this
evening with a few showers and storms popping up along and then
moving west out into the Gulf. Other convection over east central
Florida where the moisture is a little deeper is trying to move
into eastern Polk and Highlands counties, but has been dissipating
as it moves into these areas. For the rest of the night we will
continue to see a few more showers and possibly storms pop up as
the west coast sea breeze boundary weakens and gets pushed out
into the eastern Gulf. May also see a few more showers over the
southern zones as the deeper moisture drifts west overnight, but
nothing to substantial. For now have tweaked PoPs in the grids
slightly to keep 20 pops across the south until around midnight
and shifted the PoPs along the west coast counties westward some.

&&

.AVIATION...
Some patchy MVFR ceilings will be possible late tonight and
especially during Saturday morning once daytime heating gets
underway. Then during the Saturday afternoon isolated to scattered
convection may cause some brief MVFR/local IFR conditions.
Otherwise...mainly VFR conditions are expected through Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Weak high pressure will remain across the waters with winds
shifting to easterly each night and then becoming onshore with the
sea breeze each afternoon through the weekend. In general winds
will remain 15 knots or less and seas 3 feet or less...except in
the vicinity of any thunderstorms.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  73  90  73  89 /  10  20  20  20
FMY  71  90  72  90 /  20  50  30  40
GIF  71  92  71  91 /  10  20  10  40
SRQ  71  88  72  89 /  10  20  20  20
BKV  67  91  68  90 /  10  20  10  20
SPG  74  89  75  88 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...69/Close
UPPER AIR...25/Davis
DECISION SUPPORT...11/McKaughan



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