549
FNUS73 KMPX 090959
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Rosendale WPA Rx...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
459 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Northeast winds 10-15 mph are expected today with
RH dropping into the 30s this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 67.
RH..................77 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 13 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 13 to 15
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /20700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /120500 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 18 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  53  57  60  63  65  66  67  67  67  66  64
RH..............77  74  67  60  52  43  38  36  34  33  34  37
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  14  14  15  14  14  14  13  12  9
20 FT wind gust.21  21  20  20  20  21  20  18  18  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.6 1.9 2.6 4.4 5.9 6.7 7.1 7.4 7.4 7.1 6.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  20  21  21  20  18  18  18  17  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    south around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (73000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (2500 knot-ft) early in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 17 mph shifting to the east 8 to 9
                    mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    south overnight shifting to the southwest
                    around 9 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    8 to 13 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the northwest 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (51900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (121000
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph increasing to northwest 22 to
                    31 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Borghoff
Requested by...Blatz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413528.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_blatz@fws.gov