Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 091730 AAB
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1130 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

.AVIATION...
South and southwest winds will gradually diminish this afternoon.
Winds will then remain around 10 knots or less tonight into Saturday
morning. Skies are expected to be VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 529 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016/

AVIATION...
MVFR/VFR conditions to start the 12Z TAF period. Some bkn/ovc low
ceilings in MVFR category are being reported at KAMA/KGUY. As we go
through the morning hours closer to 18Z, these clouds will begin to
erode and become more mid and upper level sct coverage. Once we go
past 18Z Friday, VFR conditions are expected to return to all TAF
sites and continue throughout the 12Z forecast period. Winds will be
out of the south 10 to 15 kts gusting at times over 20 kts before
00Z Saturday. Once we go pass 00Z Saturday, winds will subside out of
the south and southwest between 5 to 10 kts.

Meccariello

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 343 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Fairly extensive cloud cover expected to persist through much of the
morning, with clearing expected this afternoon as isentropic lift
diminishes.  Expecting warmer conditions today with all locations
climbing to above freezing as pressures continue to fall with
deepening of lee trof and eastward displacement of cold surface
ridge.

Saturday expected to be much warmer with highs in the mid-50s to
mid-60s as downsloping winds prevail.  Sunday expected to be warm
also until next cold front arrives during the afternoon.  Models
suggest that Sunday cold front will not be nearly as strong as our
most recent one.  Thus above-normal high temperatures are expected
Saturday through Monday.

Models diverge beginning Monday night and Tuesday.  Another strong
cold front is likely to arrive by Wednesday, but timing is far from
certain. Low certainty in temperatures beyond Tuesday, owing to
unknown strength of post-frontal cold airmass.  Better certainty of
continued dry forecast, with no precipitation expected next seven
days. 03

Cockrell

FIRE WEATHER...
No elevated or critical fire weather conditions are expected through
Thursday as relative humidity values remain above necessary
thresholds.  03

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

15/11


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