Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 130239
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
939 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
A WARMER EVENING THIS EVENING AS THE CURRENT TEMPERATURE IS 66 WHILE
THE DEWPOINT IS 62. WINDS ARE OUT OF THE NORTH AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS AS
OBSERVED AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS. THE C-MAN REPORTING STATIONS SHOW
NEAR 10 KNOTS AT MOLASSES REEF AND LONG KEY LIGHTS...WITH NEAR 15
KNOTS AT SMITH SHOAL...AND 15 TO 20 KNOTS AT SAND KEY LIGHT.

.FORECAST...
FORECAST REASONING REMAINS THE SAME. WITH THE DEW POINTS HOLDING ONTO
THE LOWER 60S WOULD SUGGEST THAT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM
65 TO 60 OVERNIGHT. THE LOW OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WILL TREK
NORTHEASTWARD QUICKLY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
STRETCHING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL GRADUALLY BE REPLACED BY
A MORE ROBUST RIDGE MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...REACHING
THE KEYS AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RESULT OF THE STRONGER RIDGE
WILL BE TO INCREASE WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY. WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLLING THE
ENVIRONMENT...EXPECTING LITTLE CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
SATURDAY WILL INCREASE BREEZES OUT OF THE NORTH ACROSS THE ENTIRE
KEYS AREA SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST 13/24Z AT BOTH THE
KEY WEST AND MARATHON INTERNATIONAL TERMINALS. A RIDGE WILL BUILD
OVER THE KEYS AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING WINDS OUT OF
THE NORTH AFTER 13/18Z...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CROSS WIND IMPACTS
AFTER 13/24Z.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...1955...THE LOW TEMPERATURE IN
KEY WEST WAS 59 DEGREES. THIS SET THE DAILY RECORD COOL MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURE FOR KEY WEST ON FEBRUARY 13TH...WHICH STANDS 61 YEARS
LATER. TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1872.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........BWC
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....BWC
DATA COLLECTION.......DEVANAS

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