Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KKEY 060348

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1048 PM EST Mon Dec 5 2016

Along the island chain, skies are mostly clear with temperatures in
the upper 70s to near 80 degrees along with uncomfortable dewpoint
readings in the mid 70s. Meanwhile, local radars are void of any
precipitation echoes. Surface wise, A western Atlantic ridge axis
extends across south Florida, with a north-south oriented cold front
is draped over the western Gulf of Mexico. Otherwise, our sounding
reveals several layers of dry air below 700 mb, with a veering, fresh
to strong southeast to south trajectory reaching well into the

Given the aforementioned dry air, an absence of both low level
confluence and large scale ascent prompted pops to be lowered from
low chance to dime pops while removing lightning storms.


A Small Craft Advisory will remain in effect for the Florida Straits
until winds and seas subside from west to east overnight. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate southeast to south winds will be carried.


VFR will prevail at EYW & MTH through the next 24 hours, but very
brief MVFR ceilings are not out of the question around 12z and also
after 18z in association with a moistening low levels & possible
incoming shower activity. Delayed VCSH timing in line with latest
model guidance. Expect southeast gentle to moderate breezes to veer
to the south by Tuesday afternoon.


GM...Small Craft Advisory for GMZ052>055-072>075.



Data Collection......DR

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