Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 252239
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
239 PM PST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR RECORD LEVELS. VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW RETURNS TO CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY NIGHT...EXPANDING INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY. SHOWERS DIMINISHING INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH
SLIGHTLY COOLER THOUGH STILL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TONIGHT IT WILL BE CLEAR
AS A 585 DM UPPER LEVEL HIGH DOMINATES NORTHERN NEVADA. HIGH
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA LATER TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH NEAR OR RECORD HIGHS OVER MANY PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SUB-
TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY NIGHT AND NORTHERN
NEVADA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. PW WILL BE 2 TO 3 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. SO A VERY MOIST SYSTEM WITH .10 TO .25"
OF RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. SNOW LEVELS WILL GENERALLY RANGE AROUND 7,000 FEET ON
TUESDAY. WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE LOW PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE
NORTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...HOWEVER SHOWERS WILL LINGER
ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEVADA THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.
SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO NEAR 6500 FEET SO SOME OF THE HIGHER
SUMMITS MAY GET A LITTLE SNOW...HOWEVER DO NOT EXPECT ANY
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. THE EC AND NAM ARE A BIT WETTER WITH
QPF...THIS IS DUE TO A TROUGH LINGERING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
NEVADA ON WEDNESDAY. EXPANDED POPS/QPF SLIGHTLY BUT OVERALL NO
BIG CHANGES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS ARE DEPICTING
A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE CALIFORNIA COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY. HAVE KEPT MAINLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA. TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MILD...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S. THE
SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...AND HAVE AGAIN KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS FOR THE
AREA. AT THIS TIME...NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION.
THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS AND THE POSITION OF
CLOSED LOW FOR THE WEEKEND. FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT CONDITIONS DRY AND
CONTINUED MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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