Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
000
FXUS65 KLKN 242315
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
415 PM PDT Wed May 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather comes to an end as a series of weak fronts
moves through the area through Today with scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. The main storm system will finally exit
the area late Friday with dry and warmer weather returning for the
weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Friday. Isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms will cont through the aftn across northern NV N
of I80 and northern/White Pine Counties. Currently the strongest
storms are in central Nye and northern Elko Counties. The best
shear is to the north where a few cells could sustain longer.
Very weak shear is creating an environment more favorable for
pulse type storms in central NV. Nevertheless, strong inverted V
soundings could support wind gusts to near 58 mph. There was
already one gust to 52 MPH in the Owyhee Desert. Storms should
weaken after sunset and the HRRR supports this scenario. However
there could be a couple showers along the I80 corridor overnight.

Another minor concern is the cont wind gusts. A few locations have
been gusting to wind adv criteria, but coverage does not justify
a headline. Regardless, motorists should watch for sudden gusts of
wind while driving this aftn/eve.

Thursday - With the passing frontal system, temps will fall around
10 degrees across NE NV. A few isolated showers could hug the
eastern NV border, but coverage will be sparse.

Friday - The trof axis will clip NE NV and bring enough
moisture/instability for more showers and thunderstorms. Coverage
will be more than Thursday and any one storm should produce
around/less than a tenth of an inch of precip. A couple strong
storms could be possible with small hail and gusty winds,
especially for NE Elko County. Elsewhere, generally cooler
conditions and a pleasant day.

.LONG TERM...Friday night through next Wednesday. Model agreement
is pretty good. There is potentially a lengthy dry period ahead.

Friday night. There could be a few lingering showers across
eastern Nevada in the evening as a positive-tilt trough exits the
region to the east. Low temperatures will be in the 40s.

Saturday through Wednesday. High pressure will expand dramatically
over the Great Basin. Model QPF is showing up as minimal to
nonexistent at least through Tuesday before the ridge potentially
begins to break down. Will keep the forecast dry through Wednesday
with some cumulus buildups possible under the massive ridge
pattern. There could be a thunderstorm or two pop up on any given
afternoon however the tendency would by toward the dry variety
with PWs generally in the low to mid 30s. High temperatures will
rise through the 70s this weekend and into the 80 next week. Low
temperatures will range from the mid 40s to the mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...KEKO KELY and KTPH: Periods of showers with a few thunderstorms
may bring MVFR conditions at times this afternoon. West winds will
gust to around 30 kts through this evening. Thunderstorms may
affect KELY again Thursday afternoon.

KWMC: A few showers will pop up near the airport this afternoon
but VFR conditions should hold.ers are expected through Wednesday
with VFR conditions. West winds will be gusty through early this
evening.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...The stretch of the lower Humboldt River from Comus downstream
through Winnemucca to the Humboldt/Pershing County border will
experience minor to moderate flooding through the weekend. A Flood
Warning is in effect.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain may drop below flood stage
as early as Thursday. A Flood Warning is in effect.

The Jarbidge River is expected to experience some minor flooding
issues over the next several days. Temperatures will be about 10
degrees cooler for Thursday and Friday which will help to
temporarily slow snowmelt, however high temperatures will warm
back up this weekend and early next week.

Wildhorse Reservoir is still above the spillway. There is no
threat for flooding at this time downstream along the Owyhee
River.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

94/92/92



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.