Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 032247
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
347 PM PDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON FRIDAY...WITH
THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEVADA.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT NORTHERN HUMBOLDT
AND ELKO COUNTIES FRIDAY...THEN EXPAND SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS MUCH
OF NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY. MUCH COLDER SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH A
WARMING TREND BEGINNING ON SUNDAY. DRY AND MILD NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. INCREASING WINDS ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA ON FRIDAY AS A STRONG TROUGH
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA WHERE WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED.
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO
IMPACT NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES ON FRIDAY...THEN EXPAND
SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS MOST OF HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES ON
SATURDAY. WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH...EXPECT A FEW MORE DEGREES
OF COOLING ON FRIDAY...THEN AROUND A 10 DEGREE DROP IN
TEMPERATURES FROM FRIDAY TO SATURDAY. MAY SEE A FEW SNOW CAPPED
MOUNTAINS IN NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY BY SATURDAY MORNING...THEN
OVER NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING AS
THE COOL MOIST SYSTEM EXPANDS SOUTH AND EAST. NO IMPACTS TO
ROADWAYS HOWEVER AS SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 8000 FEET
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. MODELS ARE IN
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD SO CONFIDENCE IS GOOD WITH
THE FORECAST PACKAGE.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE AREA WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WITH A COUPLE OF WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVING
THROUGH THE PATTERN. THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRY SO MID AND HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL BE THE ONLY SENSIBLE WEATHER WITH THESE WEAK WAVES.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CHILLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH FROST/FREEZE
PRODUCTS LIKELY AS MOST VALLEYS WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING.
MONDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE BELOW NORMAL WITH
MID TO UPPER 30S POSSIBLE SO FROST PRODUCTS POSSIBLE. OVERALL
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH
TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
SOUTH WITH CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS AND VERY LITTLE CLOUD COVER.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE MID 80S AND LOWS IN THE 40S.

&&

.AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY
WITH ISOLD TS WELL NORTH OF KWMC AND KEKO NEAR THE IDAHO BORDER
BUT NOT EXPECTED AT THE TAF SITES. LOCALIZED BLDU IS POSSIBLE BUT
DID NOT INCLUDE IN TAFS. MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
AT KWMC AND KEKO TODAY AND TONIGHT AND THEN BEGIN TO CLEAR
TOMORROW MORNING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A STRONG TROUGH IS APPROACHING NEVADA FROM THE
NORTHWEST. AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
REGION. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON FRIDAY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA WHERE WIND ADVISORIES AND RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
ISSUED. MOIST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT NORTHERN
MOST PORTIONS OF NEVADA ON FRIDAY...WITH SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY INTO NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES. ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE TROUGH GETS A LITTLE CLOSER TO
NEVADA...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL EXPAND ACROSS MOST
OF HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES...POSSIBLY REACHING INTO LANDER AND
EUREKA COUNTIES. MUCH COLDER SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH REACHES
NORTHERN NEVADA. TEMPERATURES REBOUND SUNDAY WITH DRY AND MILD
CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR EASTERN ELKO
COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR NORTHEASTERN NYE
COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY/LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

&&

$$

96/90/90/96


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