Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FXUS63 KLSX 011143

643 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2014

Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2014

Cold morning with temperatures ranging from the middle 20s across
central and northeast Missouri to the lower 30s elsewhere. Expect
most of the CWA will fall below freezing, ending the growing
season and need for any additional frost/freeze headlines until
next spring.



.SHORT TERM: (Through Tonight)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2014

Ridge of high pressure will move from west to east across the area
today and tonight providing a clear sky and light/variable wind.
Temperatures will remain a touch below normal, but nothing out of
the ordinary for the first full day of November.


.LONG TERM: (Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2014

Return flow will kick into full gear heading into the new week
with temperatures moderating back above normal by Monday. In fact,
latest guidance has highs in the upper 60s to around 70 for Monday.

Meanwhile, next cold front will approach the area from the west on
Monday with the threat of rain increasing heading into Monday
night and Tuesday. Temperatures to drop back to normal values with
the increased cloud cover, rain and frontal passage.

Still a large spread in model guidance toward the end of the
extended forecast and have kept the forecast nearly identical with
only slight chances of rain toward the end of the work week.



.AVIATION:  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Sunday Morning)
Issued at 632 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2014

Large high pressure ridge centered over the Midwest will drift
southeast today and tonight. This will cause the wind to turn from
the north-northwest to the southeast late this afternoon and into
the evening hours. VFR flight conditions will continue to prevail.

Specifics for KSTL:

VFR flight conditions will prevail under the influence of high
pressure. Wind will turn from the north-northwest to the southeast
this afternoon/evening as the high drifts through the Mississippi



MO...FREEZE WARNING until 10 AM CDT this morning FOR Audrain MO-Boone
     MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
     Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-Madison MO-
     Marion MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike
     MO-Ralls MO-Reynolds MO-Shelby MO-St. Charles MO-St.
     Francois MO-St. Louis City MO-St. Louis MO-Ste. Genevieve
     MO-Warren MO-Washington MO.

IL...FREEZE WARNING until 10 AM CDT this morning FOR Adams IL-Bond IL-
     Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Greene IL-Jersey
     IL-Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-
     Pike IL-Randolph IL-St. Clair IL-Washington IL.



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