Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 011954
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
254 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MAINLY THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE...WITH MUCH OF THE PRECIP EXPECTED TO
DIE OFF THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

AN ACTIVE TIME PERIOD IS ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY AND INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO
THE REGION. CHANCE FOR MORE HIT AND MISS TYPE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE EARLY ON THURSDAY AS
ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF
REGION.

HOWEVER...THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...STARTING IN THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST...BEFORE SWEEPING ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
OCCUR...WITH SOME STORMS BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE. GIVEN THE BROAD
UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ELONGATED SURFACE FEATURE...EXPECT A MORE
LINEAR EVENT...WITH STRONG DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...SURFACE
WINDS WILL TURN SLIGHTLY BACK TO SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM...LEADING TO POTENTIAL OF SOME ROTATING CELLS AND HAIL
DEVELOPMENT AS MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES COOL.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...WITH UP TO TWO
INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS.

THE FRONT AND PRECIP WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE STATE FRIDAY MORNING...WITH
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS USHERING MUCH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS INTO
THE STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BACK AT BELOW NORMAL READINGS FOR
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WITH A BROAD RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS AND THE UPPER TROUGH
LIFTING UP OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AT THE START OF NEXT
WEEK...THE MIDSOUTH WILL EXPERIENCE DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPS
CLIMBING BACK INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ON SUNDAY. THE UPPER
RIDGE WILL ATTEMPT TO SHIFT EAST ON MONDAY WHILE A TRAILING COLD
FRONT DIPS DOWN ACROSS THE REGION LATE MONDAY. AT LEAST AT THIS
POINT THERE DOESNT APPEAR TO BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO INTERACT THIS FAR
SOUTH SO DID NOT BUMP POPS HIGHER THAN SLIGHT JUST ACROSS THE
NORTHERN BORDER. WEDNESDAY WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND
HUMID...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S.
BETTER CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION EXIST LATER IN THE WEEK.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     69  86  60  73 /  10  50  90  10
CAMDEN AR         73  90  65  78 /  20  40  80  10
HARRISON AR       68  83  55  67 /  20  70  70  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    72  86  62  75 /  20  50  90  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  72  88  64  76 /  20  50  90  10
MONTICELLO AR     72  90  67  78 /  20  30  70  10
MOUNT IDA AR      71  85  59  73 /  20  60  80  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  69  85  57  69 /  20  60  80  10
NEWPORT AR        69  87  62  74 /  10  40  90  10
PINE BLUFF AR     71  90  65  77 /  20  40  80  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   71  86  60  74 /  20  60  80  10
SEARCY AR         69  86  63  76 /  20  40  90  10
STUTTGART AR      70  89  64  76 /  20  40  80  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...224 / LONG TERM...61





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.