Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 161124
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
624 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING
WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA HAVE SEEN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND SOME
ADDITIONAL AREAS WILL SEE TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR FREEZING BY
SUNRISE SO WILL KEEP FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM.

HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED TO THE EAST OF THE REGION SO WINDS WILL
START TO BLOW FROM THE SOUTH LATER THIS MORNING. THIS WILL HELP
BRING MILDER AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. AS A RESULT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER THAN TUESDAY WITH HIGHS FROM THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 60S. TONIGHT WILL SEE MILDER WEATHER ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA WITH SOME AREAS NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER SEEING SOME
PATCHY FROST OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER
30S. THURSDAY WILL BE EVEN WARMER AS SOUTH WINDS CONTINUE TO BRING
WARMER AIR INTO THE REGION. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE MID
TO UPPER 60S.

BY THURSDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SOME
OF THIS ACTIVITY MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. BY FRIDAY THE
FRONT BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND DIE OUT AS IT REACHES THE FORECAST AREA
SO THERE WILL ONLY BE A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WITH LITTLE COLD
AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN PLEASANT WITH HIGHS
AROUND 70.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO MOVE INTO THE REGION BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL KEEP THINGS DRY FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE FAIRLY NICE FOR THE WEEKEND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY WITH HIGHS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
SO THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL RETURN. THE FRONT WILL GET CLOSER TO
THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY SO THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDS THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT
8-12 KTS...DIMINISHING SOME BY 16/23Z.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR BENTON TN-CARROLL-
     CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-
     HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-
     MCNAIRY-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

$$







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