Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 030041
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
741 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DEEPER MOISTURE HAS EXITED OFF TO THE EAST THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS STILL RESIDES UPSTREAM. THIS
WILL ACT TO PROVIDE A CONTINUATION OF PVA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. LATEST HRRR APPEARS TO REDEVELOP THE SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE
EAST OF I-65 AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...MODEL MRH TRENDS DECREASE
THROUGH 12Z. CURRENTLY...ONLY A FEW SPRINKLES OR ISOL LIGHT
SHOWERS ARE INDICATED ON RADAR. FOR THE FCST...WILL OPT TO KEEP
THE FCST AS IS FOR THE MOST PART. ONLY CHANGE WILL BE TO REMOVE
TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH...AND REMOVE LIKELY POPS FROM
THE EASTERN PLATEAU. COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG ACROSS OUR PLATEAU
TOWARD 12Z BUT WILL REFRAIN FROM ITS INCLUSION AT THIS TIME AS IT
LOOKS RATHER BORDERLINE FOR VSBYS AOB 1SM. UPDATE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE MID-STATE EARLIER NOW JUST EAST.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE LAGGING BEHIND EXPECTED TO LINGER WELL INTO
TUESDAY. POSSIBLE IMPROVING CONDITIONS THIS EVENING EXPECTED
TO DETERIORATE LATER AS LOW CIGS/VSBYS REDEVELOP. ALL LOCATIONS
LIKELY TO BE IFR OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY...WITH IMPROVEMENT
AFTER 15Z.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION........07
LONG TERM..................08


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