Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 241033

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
533 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016




Other than some high clouds streaming across the Gulf States and the
southern half of Middle Tennessee, it`s pretty quiet this morning.
Temperatures have moderated considerably from last night and it`s
relatively comfortable outside with a few upper 40s, but mostly
everybody is in the 50s at forecast time.

A dry frontal passage is expected today.  There won`t be much of an
effect from this front other than to drop the high and low a few
degrees on Tuesday. Temperatures will rebound on Wednesday, along
with a small increase in moisture across the area.  This will be
ahead of the next system due in here Wednesday night and Thursday
morning.  Much like the last couple of fronts that have moved
through the mid-state over the last week or two, this one will
likely have little to no punch.  While soundings are showing the
potential for an isolated thunderstorm, this system will mainly
consist of a shower or two, with rainfall totals of less than 0.25
inches.  This is unfortunate with the lack of rain we`ve had lately.
October is typically a dry month but even this is ridiculous.  We`re
already running close to 2 inches below normal for the month and I
don`t see much relief in sight.  Models are hinting at a system
clipping a portion of Middle TN Saturday or Sunday, but this would
likely result in less than a tenth of inch for a few spots on the
Cumberland Plateau.

Temperatures this week will run several degrees above normal before
next weekend`s clipper, when we should moderate back towards normals
for this time of the year Sunday and Monday.  Interestingly enough,
both long-term solutions bring another warm-up back to the southeast
U.S. next week.



BNA/CKV/CSV...A dry cold front will drop southward across Middle
Tennessee today, bringing only a few high clouds and a wind shift
to the north. Expect cooler temperatures overnight, but also
falling dew points with drier air advecting in, so we`re looking
at VFR wx the next 24 hrs.





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