Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 261759

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1259 PM CDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Tue Sep 26 2017

A cold front is currently pushing east into the area early this
morning as an upper level trough pushes into the northern Plains.
A few showers have developed across Kansas and will spread east
into southeastern Kansas and far western Missouri this morning.
This activity will likely dissipate as it spreads into the area
later this morning. This afternoon and evening some
isolated/scattered showers and perhaps a few storms will then
develop along the front, but widespread rainfall is not expected
as this activity will likely be hit and miss in nature. No severe
weather will occur.

A cooler air mass will start to spread into the area from the
northwest behind the front, while warmer conditions will remain in
place ahead of the front. This will result in temperatures
ranging from the upper 70s across southeastern Kansas and far
western Missouri to the upper 80s across south central Missouri
this afternoon.

A few showers could linger across the area tonight into Wednesday
as the system moves through the area.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Tue Sep 26 2017

Surface high pressure and a cooler air mass will spread into the
area behind the front, as highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s
will occur each afternoon into the weekend. Temperatures in the
lower 80s may then return early next week ahead of an approaching
upper level trough.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Tue Sep 26 2017

A cold front will push from northwest to southeast across the area
this afternoon and early this evening. Ceilings will lower behind
the front with winds shifting to the north. MVFR ceilings are a
high probability tonight and Wednesday morning. There may
initially be some pockets of VFR ceilings this evening before
MVFR becomes well established. There are a few weather models
indicating IFR ceilings for a few hours early Wednesday morning.
However, confidence remains low in this scenario.




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