Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 050447
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1147 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015


.DISCUSSION...
VFR conditions expected next 24 hours. NAM12 950MB RH does
hint at IFR/MVFR stratus at KJCT and KBBD towards sunrise,
but warm mid level temperatures should prevent development.
Otherwise generally south winds of 7 to 12 KTS expected
through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 852 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015/

UPDATE...
The diurnal cu field will continue to dissipate this evening,
resulting in mostly clear skies throughout much of the overnight
period. We could see some patchy stratus make a run at the I-10
corridor toward sunrise, but warm boundary layer temperatures may
preclude saturation. Minor changes were made to the overnight low
temperatures and hourly winds, dewpoints, and sky. Overnight lows
were nudged down a degree, more in line with persistence. For
tomorrow, highs were raised in a few areas across the south and
lowered slightly north of I-20. This should bring highs in line
with being at or just slightly warmer than what we saw today.

Johnson

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 644 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR next 24 hours. Southeast to south winds generally 10 KTS
or less will prevail over the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (Tonight and Wednesday)...

Upper level ridge will be building back over West Central Texas over
the next 24 hours, bringing the slim chances of rain a few areas
have had to an end. Fairly extensive afternoon cu field has set up
across much of the area this afternoon as low level moisture has
remained, but it has done little to keep temperatures down with many
areas approaching the 100 degree mark as of 4 PM. As the ridge
builds in even more on Wednesday, temperatures will inch a degree or
two higher and be well in excess of 100 in a few local areas.

LONG TERM(Wednesday Night though Tuesday)...

The dog days of summer are here to stay in West Central Texas for
the next 7 days and probably beyond. A strong upper level high
pressure ridge will dominate the weather pattern and bring hot and
dry conditions. Highs will be mainly 100 to 105, with lows in the
mid to upper 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  77 100  77 /  20   0   0   0
San Angelo 101  76 103  76 /  10   0   0   0
Junction 100  75 101  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

04


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