387
FXUS64 KOHX 101545
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1045 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1028 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

High pressure centered out west is producing a cool, north flow
across Middle Tennessee today, which comes as a welcome reprieve
coming off this week`s heavy rain and severe storms. An upper
trough will finally come through early this afternoon and we can
expect some additional cloudiness as a result, and maybe also a
light shower or two along the Upper Plateau. And a weak surface
boundary coming through tomorrow may also produce a few light
showers in the same general area. Otherwise, the forecast through
the weekend is mercifully free of rain and storms with pleasant,
spring-like temperatures. This will give our rivers and streams
the chance to recede, as we still have some gages that are in
flood or at least above action stage.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1028 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

The wet pattern will return next week as a low pressure system
comes out of the Great Plains beginning early Monday and keeps us
active through midweek. At this time, we are not outlooked for
severe storms with this system, nor is there any concern about
heavy rainfall, as storm total QPF values are generally running
around an inch or less. A subsequent frontal system will bring
additional convection to the mid state Thursday and Friday with
similar QPF values. Temperatures next week will stay close to or
slightly above seasonal normals.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Had some patchy to locally dense fog overnight, but conditions
will improve in the next hour with sunrise. Low cigs will begin to
push southward over the next 6 hours, but some question as to how
far south they will get. Have left out MVFR cigs in the FM groups,
but wouldn`t be surprised if some see at least a period of MVFR
cigs. Winds will remain from the N/NW, before shifting after 00Z
and becoming SW near the end of the current TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      72  53  78  54 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    71  51  76  51 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     67  45  69  46 /  10   0  20   0
Columbia       72  50  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     67  47  71  48 /  10   0  10   0
Jamestown      66  46  70  46 /  20   0  20  10
Lawrenceburg   72  50  77  51 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   71  49  77  49 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        71  51  78  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Adcock