Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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315
FXUS64 KLCH 040433
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1133 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS TAF THINKING.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1010 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...FORECAST ON TRACK WITH COOLER HIGH PRESSURE NOW
IN PLACE. NO UPDATE COMING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 659 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AFTERNOON CU BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE WITH
LOSS OF HEATING...ALTHOUGH SOME MID/UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD COVER
ASSOCIATED WITH UPSTREAM CONVECTION COULD EVENTUALLY MOVE OVER THE
AREA LATER. ALL IN ALL VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL GIVEN
LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE PER FORECAST TIME-HEIGHT SECTIONS. NRLY
WINDS WILL LINGER...WITH AN UPTICK IN SPEEDS TOMORROW BEHIND THE
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE ALOFT.

25

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 539 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...
WX MAP SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTHWARD ACROSS TX INTO
LA...KEEPING NW WINDS ~ 10 MPH INLAND ~15 KTS OFFSHORE ACROSS
ZONES. VIS SAT SHOWS CLEARING ACROSS SE TX/C AND SW LA...WITH
ACADIANA STILL DEALING WITH LOWER CLOUDS. THIS SHOULD CLEAR LATER
THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO USHER COOLER AND DRIER AIR ACROSS
THE AREA WITH COMPLETELY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. DRY WX WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
NW FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD
SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA. FOR THE MOST PART...WE CAN EXPECT LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S WITH HIGHS NEAR 80/LOWER 80S FOR WED
THROUGH FRI.

A WARMING AND SLOWLY HUMIDIFYING TREND WILL COMMENCE OVER THE
WEEKEND. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL
SLOWLY MOVE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND...BRINGING INCREASED MOISTURE
AND LIFT FOR A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEXT MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

DML

MARINE...
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION...WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE
FLOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL SHIFT
SOUTHEASTERLY OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE
AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  53  79  56  77 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  56  80  60  80 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  56  78  59  79 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  55  80  59  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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