Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 241751

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1251 PM CDT MON OCT 24 2016

/18Z TAFS/

Low clouds were a litle slow to arrive, and slow to break up this
morning across west central Texas. As of 17Z, all airport
locations had scattered out except Sonora. Will continue with
brief MVFR ceilings there...with scattered mid to hich cloud decks
for the rest of the area through the evening and overnight. Winds
mainly south and a bit gusty this afternoon...but remaining below
20 kt. Will leave out low clouds for Tue morning for now...but
will evaluate the possibility for brief MVFR ceilings over
southern areas.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 603 AM CDT MON OCT 24 2016/

/12Z TAFS/

Stratus will develop at the southern 3 sites between 12z and 13z,
resulting in MVFR ceilings. Confidence remains low that the
stratus will make it to KSJT, so for now ceilings were kept VFR.
VFR conditions will return to all sites by mid to late morning.
Mid level cloud cover will increase from south to north late this
afternoon and overnight. South winds of 5 to 10 knots will become
light and variable this evening.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 333 AM CDT MON OCT 24 2016/

(Today and Tonight)

Weak upper level ridging will result in above normal temperatures
across West Central Texas today, as a weak shortwave trough moves
east of the area. A few sprinkles are occurring across portions of
the Heartland in association with the aforementioned shortwave
trough, but any light showers should be east of the area by mid
morning. Highs today will be in the low to mid 80s across most of
the forecast area, with upper 70s to low 80s across the southern
counties where mid level cloud cover will increase this afternoon.
Winds today will be south to southeast at 6 to 12 mph. Extensive
cloud cover overnight will help to keep temperatures relatively
mild, mainly in the low to mid 60s.


(Tuesday through next Sunday)

Few changes were needed for the long term portion of the
forecast. An upper level trough is still expected to traverse the
Great Plains Tuesday, sending a weak cold front into the Red River
Valley that will likely not quite make it into our forecast area.
This trough will be followed up by upper level ridging from
Wednesday into the weekend. While ridging is in place across the
southwestern U. S., consecutive upper level lows will move
southeast through the northern plains and Great Lakes area from
Thursday into Saturday. Resulting high pressure across the plains
could send a weak cold front into the area Sunday, but the front
is only expected to make it into the Big Country, and will likely
have only minimal impacts on temperatures in our area.



Abilene  83  63  81  61 /   5   5   5   5
San Angelo  84  61  82  59 /   5   5   5   0
Junction  82  61  81  58 /   5   5   5   0
Brownwood  83  60  82  59 /  10   5   5   5
Sweetwater  82  62  80  61 /   5   5   5   5
Ozona       81  61  80  58 /   5   5   5   0


.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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