Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 280837
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

.LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Huber/Daniels



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