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000
FNUS75 KMSO 312230
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY CREEK COMPLEX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
430 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1600 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG THERMAL BELTS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TONIGHT SO
EXPECT HUMIDITY RECOVERY TO BE NO BETTER THAN WHAT HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED THESE PAST FEW DAYS. WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE LARGELY TERRAIN
DRIVEN...LIGHT AND FOLLOW A DIURNAL TREND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. MINIMUM
HUMIDITY READINGS ON FRIDAY WILL RIVAL THE LOWEST SEEN THIS WEEK.
BUT SOME MINOR IMPROVEMENT IS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR
THE FIRE. A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT) .......UP SLOPE/UP VALLEY 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    4-9 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$

FORECASTER...DICKERSON
REQUESTED BY...JEFF SHANAFELT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140731.HAYCR.01/MSO