Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 191145

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
745 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

A warm front will cross the region today, with a cold front
crossing the region tonight. High pressure will build across
the region Friday through Saturday.

Have included patchy fog early this morning Downeast with this
update. Otherwise, have adjusted for current conditions.

Previous Discussion...
A warm front will cross the region early today, with a cold
front approaching northwest areas late. Mostly sunny skies are
expected across the forecast area today. South to southwest
winds will increase today, with gusts up to around 30 mph
expected this afternoon. The cold front will cross the region
tonight. Partly cloudy skies along with isolated to scattered
showers are expected across northern portions of the forecast
area tonight, with mostly clear/partly cloudy skies across the
remainder of the region. High temperatures today will generally
range from the mid to upper 60s across the forecast area, with
local readings around 70. Low temperatures tonight will range
from the upper 30s to lower 40s north, to the mid to upper 40s

Strong high pressure will build in from the southwest Friday and
crest across the region Saturday. This system is expected to
bring dry conditions over the state through the weekend.

Strong high pressure will move to the east into the Atlantic
Sunday producing a southerly flow across the region. A cold
front is expected to approach from the west Monday. The front is
then expected to become stationary to the west of New England
Tuesday with intense low pressure developing along the front
and moving northward into Canada to the west of the region
Wednesday. This will produce relatively mild conditions across
the state on Wednesday along with showers.

NEAR TERM: Variable conditions are possible with any patchy fog
Downeast early this morning. Occasional MVFR conditions are
also possible across northern areas tonight. Otherwise, VFR
conditions are expected across the region today through tonight.
South to southwest winds will increase today, with gusts up to
around 30 mph expected this afternoon.

SHORT TERM: Expect VFR conditions Friday through Monday.

NEAR TERM: Winds will increase today along with building seas. A
Small Craft Advisory is in effect for all the waters this
afternoon through tonight.

SHORT TERM: Have used the NAM for sustained winds through
Saturday then transition to the Super Blend Winds. For Waves:
The primary wave system early Friday will be southwest wind wave
which will subside Friday Afternoon. Southerly swell is then
expected to become the primary wave system Saturday and Sunday.
A southerly fetch is then expected to develop across the Gulf of
Maine Monday. Will use the Nearshore Wave Prediction System for

MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from noon today to 5 AM EDT Friday for



Near Term...Norcross
Short Term...Mignone
Long Term...Mignone
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