Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 252311 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
511 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. NW/WNW WIND LT 11 KNOTS ...WITH LGT/VRBL WINDS
KALI AND KCRP AROUND 15/16Z WITH HIGH PROXIMATE TO SITES. WINDS AT
KCRP BECOME SOUTH LATE IN PD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH DURING THE SHORT TERM. WEAK BOUNDARY HAS
MOVED THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS WITH WINDS SHIFTING AROUND TO THE
NORTHWEST. DRY AIRMASS STILL RESIDES OVER THE REGION SO NO PRECIP
IS EXPECTED. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT WHICH WILL ALLOW
TEMPS TO FALL BACK INTO THE LOWER 40S. TEMPS WILL THEN WARM UP
NICELY ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE. CONTINUED MIDLEVEL RIDGING AND SURFACE
HIGH WILL LEAD TO DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF THE
LONG TERM...WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SURFACE
HIGH SHIFTS EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEAK COLD FRONT TO APPROACH SOUTH TEXAS BY
FRIDAY. MODEL DIFFERENCES REMAIN IN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE TO
RETURN BY FRIDAY WITH THE GFS BEING THE AGGRESSIVE MODEL. WILL
MAINTAIN ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR FRIDAY ALTHOUGH IT MIGHT BE
MORE OF THICKENING CLOUD COVERAGE VERSUS PRECIP. HOWEVER HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND...INCREASED ISENTROPIC FLOW WILL LEAD TO CHANCE
POPS. WILL WANT TO KEEP AN EYE OUT ON ANY ADDITIONAL MIDLEVEL
ENERGY RIDING INTO THE REGION OFF OF THE MIDLEVEL CUTOFF LOW THAT
IS PROG TO DEVELOP OFF THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    45  72  47  75  51  /   0   0   0   0   0
VICTORIA          42  71  47  75  48  /   0   0   0   0   0
LAREDO            43  76  48  77  50  /   0   0   0   0   0
ALICE             43  75  47  78  49  /   0   0   0   0   0
ROCKPORT          47  69  50  71  53  /   0   0   0   0   0
COTULLA           41  76  46  77  48  /   0   0   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        44  74  47  77  50  /   0   0   0   0   0
NAVY CORPUS       49  69  51  71  55  /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...AVIATION





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