Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 281131
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
631 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...

SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. FREEZE AND FROST WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED
FOR THIS MORNING AND SUNDAY MORNING. CURRENT TEMPERATURES ARE IN
THE 30S ACROSS MOST OF THE MIDSOUTH...BUT AS COLD AS THE MIDDLE
20S IN THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW
IS FALLING ACROSS THE REGION...MAINLY FROM THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
INTO WEST CENTRAL TENNESSEE. COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULD
INCREASE A BIT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS A VORT MAX TRACKS FROM
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI TO NEAR THE MEMPHIS AREA. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED AND RAINFALL TOTALS SHOULD BE MINIMAL...NO MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL LIKELY SHIFT
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...INTO NORTH MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON AS A
REGION OF NVA SHIFTS ACROSS EAST ARKANSAS. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN
THE 40S AREA WIDE...AROUND 20-25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

PRECIPITATION WILL END AREA WIDE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL...15-20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...RANGING FROM
THE MIDDLE 20S TO MIDDLE 30S. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL APPROACH SEASONAL
NORMALS...IN THE 60S AREA WIDE.

DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK...NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO COOL THINGS DOWN A BIT
FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND. NORTHEAST FLOW EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK
WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO ZONAL FLOW BY THE LATER HALF OF THE
WEEK. NO OVERLY ORGANIZED WEATHER SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED...THE COLD
FRONT LATE IN THE WORK WEEK LOOKS UNIMPRESSIVE...THE COLDEST
READINGS BEHIND THE FRONT MIGHT FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S...BUT MOST
OF THE MIDSOUTH WILL BE IN THE 40S. NO FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED. PRIOR TO THE COLD FRONT...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. NO STRONG OR
SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AN AREA OF MAINLY LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE THROUGH THE KJBR AREA THIS
MORNING. A FEW SNOW FLAKES MAY ACCOMPANY THE RAIN AND CEILINGS MAY
DROP TO MVFR LEVELS AS WELL. AT THE OTHER TAF SITES ONLY LIGHT
RAIN IS POSSIBLE TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND MAINLY FROM THE
EAST FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

ARS

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR CLAY-
     CRAIGHEAD-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-RANDOLPH.

     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR MISSISSIPPI.

MO...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
     DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALCORN-
     PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO.

     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO.

     FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ITAWAMBA-
     LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-MARSHALL-PONTOTOC-UNION.

TN...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR BENTON
     TN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-
     HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-
     MADISON-MCNAIRY-OBION-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR BENTON TN-CARROLL-
     CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-
     HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-
     MCNAIRY-OBION-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

$$


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