Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 270212
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
912 PM EST FRI DEC 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT-OVERNIGHT...WEAK ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE RESPONSIBLE FOR OVERCAST
CONDITIONS ACROSS ECFL WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHT SPRINKLES/DRIZZLE AS
VIEWED ON 88D. IT APPEARS LOW CLOUDS WILL HANG ON OVERNIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING. BIGGEST QUESTION REMAINS WILL PATCHY FOG DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT. NNE/NE WINDS WILL REMAIN 5 MPH OR LESS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE U50S TO AROUND 60F NEAR AND NW OF I-4...AND
60-65F TO THE SE.

SATURDAY...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...A WARMER DAY IS ON TAP AFTER ANY
MORNING FOG/LOW CLOUDS THAT DO DEVELOP BURN OFF. PROBABLY MORE
CLOUDS THAN SUN...BUT SUFFICIENT DIURNAL HEATING TO PUSH TEMPS INTO
THE U70S/L80S. SHAVED ABOUT 1-2F OFF OF THE MAV NUMBERS JUST IN CASE
MORNINGS CLOUDS ARE A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD/PERSISTENT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR STILL NORTH OF MLB-KISM LINE WITH CIGS RANGING FROM
OVC035-045 AS YOU HEAD NORTH. TO THE SOUTH...MVFR CIGS TREND
OVC030-015. EXPECT CIGS TO DROP THROUGH MVFR RANGE. AFTER
08Z...PREVAILING CIGS NR BKN010 AND 3-5SM BR WITH AREAS IMC
DEVELOPING IN FOG/STRATUS. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT HINGES ON GRADUAL
BREAK-UP OF THE OVERCAST CONDITIONS...IF IT HAPPENS AT
ALL...OTHERWISE LOW STRATUS CLOUDS WILL RULE.

&&

.MARINE...OVERNIGHT-SAT...ENE/E WINDS TO HOLD AROUND 10 KTS THRU THE
PERIOD. SEAS CONTINUE AT 2-3 FT INTO SAT. LONG PERIOD SWELL TRAIN
(AOA 15 SEC PD) BEGINS TO ARRIVE INTO THE OUTER WATERS LATE
OVERNIGHT INTO SAT. THIS MAY NUDGE COMBINED SEAS WELL OFFSHORE UP TO
3-4 FT TOWARD SUNSET.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

SEDLOCK/PENDERGRAST




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