Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 010652
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
252 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

.SHORT TERM (Today and Tonight)...Quite warm again today. Ridge
will be slowly weakening and thus moisture flow will increase into
the area the next few days. We may see a little more convection
this afternoon/evening than we saw Tuesday but most pops in the
20-30 pct range.

.LONG TERM (Thursday through Tuesday)...Models in decent agreement
for the most part...although some differences in the details.
Forecast confidence is about average for this time of year. A weak
cold front will move into the area on Thursday before stalling out.
Another...stronger cold front will move in on Sunday...exiting
Sunday night. Looks like there will be quite a few showers and
thunderstorms around for the Thursday through Sunday period...with
the most coverage likely to be on Thursday and especially Sunday.
An area of surface high pressure is forecast to build in for the
early part of next week...and mainly dry conditions are expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             91  68  89  68 /  30  20  50  40
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  89  67  87  67 /  30  20  50  50
Oak Ridge, TN                       88  68  87  65 /  20  20  50  50
Tri Cities Airport, TN              85  64  85  64 /  30  30  60  50

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

$$

GC/LW



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