Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 150527
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1227 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR should prevail at all terminal sites during the next 24
hours. Scattered to broken cigs aoa 050 will continue to
affect the terminals through 21Z this afternoon, with
additional mid/high clouds aoa 100 streaming in from the
Gulf. Some patchy shallow fog may affect KLAL and KPGD
terminals between 09-12Z, but overall confidence in its
development is too low to include in the Tafs at this time.
South to southwest winds in the 6 to 8 knot range will
become west at 8 to 10 knots after 21Z. Northwest to north
winds around 5 knots are expected after 02Z tonight.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 725 PM EST Thu Dec 14 2017/

UPDATE...
A near zonal flow remains in place aloft over the region
this evening with surface high pressure to our east
extending back over the Florida peninsula. This overall
setup is supporting a light south to southwest low-level
flow across the forecast area. Should be another quiet
overnight period with milder temperatures tomorrow morning
compared with this morning. There could be some patchy fog
in certain locations toward sunrise, but thinking this will
only be shallow ground fog in some of the more fog-prone
locations or just our far northern counties as model
guidance really is not picking up on it, so will not include
any mention for this evening. We should again see
additional cloud cover tonight into tomorrow morning with
the increase in low-level moisture. Overall, the forecast is
on track with just a few minor tweaks made.

MARINE...
High pressure east of the state will extend back over the
region into Friday, with mainly southwest to west winds in
place over the waters. A weak front will then move through
the area, with winds becoming north and then northeast
Friday night into Saturday. High pressure will settle in for
Sunday. Overall, no headlines are expected through the
weekend.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  75  57  73  59 /  10   0   0   0
FMY  76  57  77  61 /  10   0   0   0
GIF  76  54  73  56 /  10   0   0   0
SRQ  74  57  72  59 /  10   0   0   0
BKV  75  51  71  52 /  10   0   0   0
SPG  74  57  72  59 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...57/McMichael
UPDATE/MARINE...05/Carlisle



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