Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 030125 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
925 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.UPDATE...
MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY
PUSH EASTWARD THIS EVENING. RECENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRIER
AIR ALOFT BEGINNING TO GRADUALLY MAKE ITS WAY TOWARDS THE GULF
COAST. FOR THE TIME BEING HOWEVER...THE AREA STILL RESIDES IN AN
AREA OF HIGH ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AS EVIDENT ON THE 00Z KTBW RAOB
AS A PWAT VALUE OF 1.8 INCHES WAS OBSERVED. TROUGH AXIS SHOULD
SWING THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT AS SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR
ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION. THIS SHOULD HELP TO DIMINISH
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION ALTHOUGH STILL CAN NOT RULE
OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO EVEN AS WE APPROACH SUNRISE
TOMORROW. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS FOR THE OVERNIGHT TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS AND MOST RECENT RUNS OF HRRR
AND CAM MODELS. UPDATED ZONES AND GRIDS WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR GENERALLY EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ALTHOUGH SOME BRIEF MVFR/IFR CIGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WITH ANY SHOWERS THAT IMPACT A
TERMINAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  72  87  74  91 /  30  40  30  30
FMY  71  87  73  92 /  60  40  30  40
GIF  70  87  72  91 /  70  30  20  40
SRQ  71  85  73  90 /  40  30  30  30
BKV  68  87  69  92 /  30  40  30  40
SPG  74  85  74  90 /  30  30  30  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...11/MCKAUGHAN



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