Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34
982
FNUS22 KWNS 251727
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1227 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR
W TX...

NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST ARE NEEDED. SEE DISCUSSION BELOW
FOR MORE DETAILS.

..LEITMAN.. 05/25/2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0240 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016/

...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE MID LEVELS...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING WIND-SPEED
MAXIMUM WILL PROGRESS EWD/ENEWD FROM PORTIONS OF THE SWRN STATES
ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES TO THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS. A DRYLINE WILL
EXTEND N/S OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AND VICINITY.

...PORTIONS OF ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR W TX...AND VICINITY...
TO THE W OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DRYLINE...ENHANCED FLOW ALOFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WIND-SPEED MAXIMUM COUPLED WITH A DEEP MIXED
LAYER WILL SUPPORT SWLY TO WSWLY SFC WINDS OF 20-30 MPH. RH AROUND
5-12 PERCENT WILL COMBINE WITH THESE WINDS AMIDST DRY FUELS TO
SUPPORT A CRITICAL AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION.

ELEVATED TO BORDERLINE-CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE SURROUNDING ELEVATED AREA. HOWEVER...WITHIN THE ELEVATED
AREA...CONFIDENCE IN CRITICALLY STRONG WINDS OCCURRING ON ANY MORE
THAN A BRIEF/SPOTTY BASIS IS LIMITED IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONGER
LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW DESPITE EXPECTED LOW RH.

ADDITIONALLY...ELEVATED TO CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS COULD
EXTEND TO THE E OF THE ELEVATED/CRITICAL AREAS -- INTO PARTS OF THE
TX/OK PANHANDLES...TX S PLAINS...AND VICINITY. HOWEVER...UNFAVORABLE
FUEL CONDITIONS FOR FIRE SPREAD OWING TO FUEL GREEN-UP PRECLUDES
FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS IN THESE AREAS.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.