817
FNUS74 KMOB 021010
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
510 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected through Friday at the
burn site, with minimum relative humidities remaining above
critical thresholds. Transport winds will generally be
southeasterly to southerly for both today and tomorrow. Afternoon
dispersion will be fair for both days.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is
possible once again tonight at the burn site. Fog may briefly
become dense

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
                    to the south around 8 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-335 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 1 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 31.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  50  48  47  45  44  44  44  44  44
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  73  73  75  76  78  78  78  78  77
RH..............100 87  87  82  82  76  76  76  76  79
20 FT wind dir..E   ESE ESE SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   9   10  10  12  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.7   9   12  13  15  16  17  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SE  ESE SE  SE  ESE SE  SSE SSE SSE S
Transp wind spd.3   6   8   10  12  12  12  12  12  10
Trans wind dir..SE  ESE SE  SE  ESE SE  SSE SSE SSE S
Trans spd (m/s).1   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4
Dispersion idx..5   8   13  21  27  32  33  31  28  28
LVORI...........7   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-244 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  43  45  47  49  53  58  62  60  58  56  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  75  74  74  72  74  72  72  72  72  71  71
RH..............76  82  84  84  90  84  90  90  90  90  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE SE
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.13  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SE
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
Dispersion idx..28  5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 9 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 25.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  55  54  53  52  55  58  61  59  57  55  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  72  74  75  76  76  78  78  78  79  79  78
RH..............93  90  84  82  79  79  76  76  76  74  74  76
20 FT wind dir..SE  ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SSE SSE S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.7   9   10  13  15  16  16  16  17  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   ESE ESE SE  SSE S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   8   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
Trans wind dir..SE  E   E   E   ESE ESE SE  SSE S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..4   7   8   14  17  21  25  27  27  25  23  23
LVORI...........7   6   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...96
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.13/MOB
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov