Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 032000
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
300 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED ABOUT THE
PANHANDLES THROUGH TONIGHT. A COUPLE OF UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS WILL HEAD THIS DIRECTION FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. ONE
OVER SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST
INTO CENTRAL KANSAS AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER SHORT
WAVE OVER CENTRAL COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES OVERNIGHT. BOTH OF THESE DISTURBANCES SHOULD KEEP
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GOING FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL BREAK DOWN SOME AND BROADEN.
THE PANHANDLES WILL BE MORE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE CENTER OF THE
RIDGE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SO SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
SHOULD GO DOWN SOME...BUT NOT TO ZERO...ON THESE DAYS.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN AND MOVE BACK FURTHER WEST BY
SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW A MUCH STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO
DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS MONDAY. THIS SHORT
WAVE WILL HELP TO DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE PANHANDLES LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL AGAIN HELP TO SPARK
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THE POST UPSLOPE
ENVIRONMENT ON TUESDAY IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN BE REALIZED.

A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PANHANDLES
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THIS FORECAST. THIS WILL ENCOURAGE A
LEE-SIDE TROUGH TO DEVELOP EACH DAY...SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THIS FEATURE EACH DAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                66  88  69  89  70 /  40  20  20  10  20
BEAVER OK                  67  90  71  95  73 /  40  30  30  10  30
BOISE CITY OK              64  89  67  92  66 /  40  30  30  20  30
BORGER TX                  68  92  72  94  72 /  40  20  20   5  30
BOYS RANCH TX              66  92  69  95  70 /  40  20  20  20  20
CANYON TX                  67  89  68  91  69 /  40  20  20  10  20
CLARENDON TX               68  89  71  91  71 /  40  20  20   5  20
DALHART TX                 65  92  68  95  68 /  40  20  20  20  30
GUYMON OK                  66  91  70  95  71 /  40  30  30   5  30
HEREFORD TX                66  90  67  92  69 /  40  20  20  10  20
LIPSCOMB TX                67  90  71  94  73 /  40  30  30  10  20
PAMPA TX                   66  88  70  90  69 /  40  20  20   5  20
SHAMROCK TX                69  90  71  92  71 /  40  20  20  10  20
WELLINGTON TX              70  91  73  93  72 /  40  20  20  10  20

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

06/15





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