Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 292327

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
627 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Radar has widespread precipitation across much of the forecast area
this afternoon. The far northwest is the area with the least, and
the observations have had some light precipitation in that area. The
southeast portion of the area is starting to look more showery.
Temperatures have been very steady today.

The upper low responsible for the precipitation has been moving
through Kansas today and will continue through the night. As the low
moves further to the east, the precipitation should become a little
more spotty during the evening. Through the afternoon and into the
evening hours, there is a little MUCAPE of less than 200 J/KG. This
could bring more showery precipitation as well as an isolated
lightning strike. Do now expect there to be much. Later tonight the
precipitation should gradually come to an end from west to east. On
the back side of the precipitation, as it is coming to an end, there
could be cool enough temperatures that there could be a little snow
mixed in with the rain, but it should be just before it comes to an
end. By Thursday, the precipitation should move out of the forecast
area. There is a surface high that will build into the area Thursday
afternoon. Clouds should break up some, but not completely clear

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Thursday night there is an upper level ridge and surface high that
move through the area. Skies will remain mostly cloudy through the
night. By Friday, the upper level ridge and surface high move to the

The next upper level low will start to affect the area Friday night.
Precipitation should start to move into the area during the evening
and spread across the area during the overnight hours. Temperatures
in the north and west during the overnight hours could allow for
some rain and snow mix. The upper low slowly moves to the east and
there will be a chance for rain Saturday and into Saturday night
before coming to an end on Sunday morning.

There is a break Sunday afternoon through Monday before the next
upper low starts to affect the area. This low is a little further to
the north and the better chances for precipitation will be in the
northern part of the forecast area. The models have a few
differences in timing and location of the upper low, so will have to
keep watching this system to see what it does.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

An upper level low pressure system crossing through KS will
continue to bring rain chances through the evening/overnight
hours, before tapering off to an end Thursday morning. Kept
MVFR/IFR conditions going at both terminal sites through the
entire TAF period. Winds will turn more northernly this evening
and remain that way through the period, gusty conditions look to
linger through the overnight hours.




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