Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 221347 CCA
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
947 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

...STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

...ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING WET AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TO THE COAST
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...

.UPDATE...VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE AREA WILL PUSH
A COLD FRONT INTO SE GA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND ACROSS
NE FL TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS LIMITED BUT GIVEN THE STRONG DYNAMICS WILL
PROBABLY HAVE A BAND OF SHOWERS/STORMS ALONG THE FRONT ESPECIALLY WHEN
IT MOVES ACROSS SE GA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER CONTINUES TO HAVE MUCH OF SE GA UNDER A MARGINAL
THREAT OF WIND AND HAIL AND WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT IN HWO.
A DISTURBANCE MOVING IN FROM THE GULF WILL RIDE ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS CNTL FL BRINGING SCT/NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH. LIMITED MOISTURE IN PLACE AT THE
MOMENT ELSEWHERE RESULTS IN NEAR NIL POPS...BUT WILL HAVE POPS IN
PLACE THIS EVE ACROSS NE FL AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES. MAX TEMPS
REACH THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THE COMBINATION
OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST AND MOISTURE POOLING
FROM THE SOUTH WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST INTO AREA WATERS AND DISSIPATE
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE
REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH A PERIOD OF ELEVATED
ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. ADVISORY
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY. RISK WILL INCREASE TOWARD MID WEEK...WITH
ONSHORE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  89  66  84  62 /  50  60  10  10
SSI  86  70  82  69 /  30  40  40  40
JAX  90  70  84  68 /  20  20  50  50
SGJ  85  72  82  72 /  20  20  60  60
GNV  89  69  85  66 /  20  20  40  30
OCF  88  70  85  68 /  30  40  40  40

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

PP/AW










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