Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 231320
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
920 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...

WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TODAY WITH
ASSOCIATED SURFACE BOUNDARY SLIDING OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND INTO
THE ATLANTIC TO OUR NORTHEAST LATER TODAY. MORNING SOUNDINGS ACROSS
THE PENINSULA REMAIN DRY AT 1" OR LESS AND UPSTREAM SOUNDINGS AND
SATELLITE IMAGERY DON`T SHOW MUCH IN THE WAY OF ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
ADVECTION WITH THE BOUNDARY. SO THE DRY FORECAST CONTINUES WITH
AFTERNOON CUMULUS DEVELOPING LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

915 MHZ WIND PROFILER SHOWS A FAIRLY STOUT 10-15KTS NW WIND IN THE
LOWER LEVELS WHICH WILL MIX DOWN IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS THE
NOCTURNAL INVERSION LIFTS. EXPECT SOME WEAKENING OF THE WINDS AS THE
BOUNDARY MOVES FURTHER SOUTH WHICH WILL ALLOW THE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE TO PUSH SLOWLY INLAND THIS AFTERNOON.

TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO MODIFY INLAND WITH READINGS REACHING THE MID
80S. COASTAL SECTIONS SHOULD REACH THE LOWER 80S BEFORE THE SEA
BREEZE KICKS IN.

&&

.AVIATION...
LINGERING GROUND FOG/MIST CLEARING BY 14Z THEN PREVAILING VFR WITH
DAYTIME CU PRODUCING OCCASIONAL CIGS FL040-050. ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
FOG ALONG/NORTHWEST OF I-4 MAY BE IN THE CARDS AGAIN LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10KTS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE INTO THE AFTERNOON AS AS FRONTAL TROUGH PULLS SEAWARD TO
THE NORTH OF OUR WATERS. THE DAYTIME SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION WILL
KICK IN ALONG THE COAST BUT LOOKS TO ONLY BE AROUND 10 KNOTS.

PREVAILING FLOW BECOMES EAST-SOUTHEAST 10KTS OVERNIGHT AS SURFACE
HIGH CENTERED WELL TO NORTH (BEHIND THE DEPARTING FRONTAL TROUGH).
SEAS 2-4FT THIS MORNING BECOMING 1-3FT THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

MOSES/BLOTTMAN






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