National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 281530 AAA
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1030 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF
STREAM...

EARLY MORNING CAPE SOUNDING SHOWS VERY DRY AIRMASS OVER THE AREA AND
STOUT N/NW FLOW ABOVE THE SURFACE. THE CAPE 915 MHZ PROFILERS LATE
THIS MORNING SHOW THAT THE WINDS ARE DECREASING AS EXPECTED SO IT
WILL NOT BE AS WINDY/BLUSTERY AS PREVIOUS DAYS. THOUGH IT WILL BE
BREEZY AT THE COAST AS WINDS VEER TO THE NORTH AND DEVELOP A SLIGHT
ONSHORE COMPONENT. DESPITE FULL/NEARLY FULL SUNSHINE...THE COOL
CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES 8-10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE VOLUSIA COAST TO THE
MID 60S FROM OKEECHOBEE TO THE TREASURE COAST. MARINE STRATOCUMULUS
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE ATLC JUST
OFFSHORE...THEN BEGIN TO CROSS THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE
TONIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR/SKC. NOT AS BLUSTERY TODAY BUT COASTAL TERMINALS SHOULD SEE
GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS AS FLOW VEERS TO THE NORTH. VFR CIGS BKN035-040
IN MARINE SC FROM KMLB-KSUA AFTER 06Z.

&&

.MARINE...
HAVE ALLOWED THE ADVISORY FOR WINDS TO EXPIRE FOR THE VOLUSIA AND
BREVARD NEARSHORE WATERS AS NORTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT EASES
SLIGHTLY AND REPLACED IT WITH A CAUTION. BUT HAVE EXTENDED THE
ADVISORY FOR THE GULF STREAM THROUGH TONIGHT AS WINDS VEER TO A N/NE
TRAJECTORY WHICH DIRECTLY OPPOSES THE GULF STREAM AND PRESSURE
GRADIENT SUPPORTS 15-20 KNOTS AND SEAS 6-7 FT IN THE GULF STREAM.
SHORT PERIOD WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE U20S TO L30S EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
INTERIOR. BUT SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS WILL BE NOTICEABLY LOWER
THAN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND ERC VALUES REMAIN LOW. AS A
RESULT...WE ARE PROVIDING WEATHER SUPPORT FOR NUMEROUS PRESCRIBED
BURNS TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  60  44  66  47 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  64  43  70  49 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  63  47  70  48 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  64  48  70  49 /   0   0  10   0
LEE  61  41  68  49 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  63  42  69  49 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  62  44  69  51 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  65  49  70  49 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY MORNING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

KELLY/MOSES

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office