Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 020348 AAA
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1045 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG LOOKING MORE LIKELY OVERNIGHT...

OVERNIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE DROPPING SOUTH ALONGT HE EASTERN SEABOARD
HAS PUSHED A BOUNDARY BACK SOUTH INTO CENTRAL FL. COOL MOIST NE FLOW
IS OVERSPREADING NORTHERN AREAS INCLUDING THE I 4 CORRIDOR WITH LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTH AND ENCOMPASS
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FL BY DAYBREAK WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF
THE TREASURE COAST. HAVE ADJUSTED THE GRIDS TO BRING IN THE FOG AND
LOW CLOUDS A LITTLE SOONER BASED ON SFC OBS AND IR SAT FOG PRODUCT.
VSBYS ARE COMING BACK UP SOME AFTER THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FOG BANK
PASSES BY AS THERE IS SOME WIND ALLOWING FOR LOW LEVEL MIXING. BUT
IF SFC WINDS FALL OFF OVERNIGHT...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY BECOME
NEEDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA INCLUDING THE I 4 CORRIDOR.

MON...(PREVIOUS) WEAK HIGH REMAINS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL FL DURING THE
DAY. VERY LIGHT SFC WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOG AND LOW CLOUDS TO LINGER
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WHICH COULD HOLD BACK TEMPS FROM
REACHING MOS-ADVERTISED MAXES BY A DEGREE OR TWO. OTHERWISE...A WARM
AND NOT QUITE AS HUMID DAY IS ON TAP WITH SLIGHT MEAN DRYING OF THE
LOCAL AIR MASS KEEPING PRECIP OUT OF THE FCST. MAXES IN THE L80S
AWAY FROM THE COAST. CHILLY EARLY MARCH SURF TEMPS WILL KEEP MAXES
IN THE UPPER 70S ALONG THE SPACE/TREASURE COAST BEACHES...MID 70S IN
COASTAL VOLUSIA.

A PERSISTENT E/NE SWELL NEAR 5FT IS LIKELY TO KEEP THE THREAT FOR
RIP CURRENTS MODERATE TO HIGH AS THE FIRST FULL WEEK OF SPRING BREAK
STARTS.


&&

.AVIATION...IFR/LIFR CIGS OVC003-008 ARE PUSHING SOUTH AND WEST FROM
THE VOLUSIA COAST AND ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVER
MOST OF THE LCL AERODROMES BY 06Z AND LINGER THROUGH ABOUT 15Z OR SO.

&&

.MARINE...ALLOWED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AT 7 PM AND
REPLACED IT WITH A CAUTION FOR SEAS WHICH ARE 5 TO 7 FEET MAINLY IN
A SWELL. A WEDGE OF NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PUSH DOWN THE
VOLUSIA AND BREVARD COASTS. ELSEWHERE THE E/SE FLOW WILL DECREASE TO
10 KNOTS OR LESS OVERNIGHT SO NO SIGNIFICANT WIND CHOP.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  59  75  61  78 /  10  10  10  10
MCO  62  81  63  83 /  10  10  10  10
MLB  65  79  64  79 /  10  10   0  10
VRB  65  80  63  81 /  10  10   0  10
LEE  62  80  62  82 /  20  10  10  10
SFB  61  79  61  81 /  10  10  10  10
ORL  63  80  63  82 /  10  10  10  10
FPR  65  79  64  81 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

KELLY/MOSES


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