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000
FXUS62 KMLB 191427
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1027 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND LOW CLOUDS LOOK TO KEEP AFTERNOON HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. MID AND UPPER 70S WITH
SOME AROUND 80 LOOKS TO BE A BETTER FORECAST. THE TAMPA BAY
SOUNDING WAS SHOWING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH MUCH DRIER AIR ABOVE DRY
OR A CAP STARTING AT AROUND 12000/13000 FEET WHICH WILL WORK ITS
WAY INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN
OR SPRINKLES POSSIBLE AS THE MORNING LOW CLOUDS MOVE WEST TO EAST
OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER THIS
AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING WHICH WOULD INCREASE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH SUNSET.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVIALING MVFR TEMPO IFR AS LOW CLOUDS MOVE WEST TO
EAST OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
THROUGH 20/00Z. MVFR/IFR AFTER 20/02Z.

&&

.MARINE...
NOAA BUOYS 009 AND 010 WERE RECORDING SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 20 KNOTS.
BUOY 009 WAS RECORDING 5 FEET. BUOY 010 WAS RECORDING 8 FEET AT
120NM OFFSHORE. THE TWO SCRIPPS BUOYS 4 NM EAST OF PORT CANAVERAL
AND 6NM NORTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE INLET WERE RECORDING 2 TO 4 FOOT
SEAS. THE AFTERNOON FORECAST IS IN LINE WITH THE BUOY REPORTS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$


SHORT TERM...WIMMER
LONG TERM....BLOTTMAN