Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 271120
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
620 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.AVIATION...
Mainly high clouds through the morning hours. One exception is PNC
where a short period of MVFR ceilings may occur as an outflow
boundary sinks south out of KS. Lower clouds have filled in to the
north of this boundary. Still expect isolated to widely scattered
aftn/evening storms, but chances remain too low to mention in TAF`s
at this point.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016/

.DISCUSSION...
Main concern will continue to be location and intensity of
daily convection.

For today, minor shortwave will move northeast out of New
Mexico into the Southern Plains. Forcing associated with this
wave will skirt northwest Oklahoma. Meanwhile, another weakness
in mid-levels will continue to move slowly westward across
eastern Oklahoma. These two area should have slightly better
chance for shower/thunderstorm development again today.
Sufficient instability will remain in place, even with overall
lack of wind shear for the possibility of isolated severe storms.
Storms will also be slow movers, producing heavy rainfall.

Moving forward, area of high pressure across southeast U.S.
will gradually build west toward the area, limiting precip
chances and likely resulting in drier and warmer conditions by
holiday weekend. However at least through mid-week, abundant
moisture will remain in place and with daytime heating, expect
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms every day.
Toughest part will be in trying to determine where convection
will develop each day, as smale scale features will most likely
be determining factors. So will continue with widespread lower-
end pops through Thursday, before upper ridge limits precip
chances across the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  91  70  91  70 /  20  10  20  10
Hobart OK         91  70  92  69 /  20  20  30  20
Wichita Falls TX  92  71  93  71 /  20  10  20  10
Gage OK           90  67  90  66 /  20  30  30  20
Ponca City OK     89  70  91  70 /  20  20  20  20
Durant OK         90  71  92  72 /  40  10  20  10

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/30



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