Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 281709
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1209 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHWESTERN
TAF SITES. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS WESTERN
SITES...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN TAFS.
OVERNIGHT...LIGHT WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT AROUND FROM THE NORTH
TO THE SOUTH. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL OK INTO
N TX. WILL KEEP TEMPO TSRA GROUPS AT SW OK SITES AND KSPS FOR THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. EXPECT STORMS TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AREAWIDE. MORE TSTMS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE PD
AFFECTING NW OK SITES.


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FA THIS MORNING WITH COOLER AIRMASS
FILTERING IN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED
AROUND MIDNIGHT CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL INTO SE OK EARLY THIS
MORNING AND APPEAR TO BE ROUGHLY ALIGNED WITH ELEVATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO SRN OK. EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
AS BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA.

NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY WESTERN AREAS. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A MORE
PRONOUNCED S/W TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
INCREASING WAA AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE PRECIP
DEVELOPMENT. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS TREND
AND SHOW REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL OK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE. MAIN AREA OF RAIN/TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SEWD LATE
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY AS THE S/W
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.

DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW
PREVAILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  87  67  76 /  10  40  60  80
HOBART OK         68  84  66  82 /  30  50  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  30  40  40  40
GAGE OK           67  80  64  75 /  30  60  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     65  85  66  77 /   0  30  60  80
DURANT OK         69  92  70  81 /  10  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/14


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