Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 011801
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1201 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2015

.AVIATION...
LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE COAST WILL KEEP AREA IN A SOUP OF MOSTLY IFR
TO OCNL LIFR CIGS...AND OCNL IFR VSBYS IN DRIZZLE. IN ADDITION...
KLFK AND KMLU...CLOSER TO A BOUNDARY EXTENDING NEWD FROM THE
LOW...WILL SEE MORE CONVECTIVE PRECIP THRU AT LEAST 02/00Z...WITH
ISOLD THUNDER POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE...IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE AREAWIDE THRU 02/18Z. WINDS TO REMAIN MOSTLY NE NEAR
5 KTS./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1108 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST ON TRACK THIS MORNING. NO CHANGES ATTM.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A WET PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. TODAY...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING
FROM NEAR NATCHITOCHES TO MONROE TO LINGER ACROSS THE AREA.
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RIDING OVER THE COOLER AIRMASS NORTHWEST OF
THE FRONT TO ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO SHIFT EAST ON MONDAY NIGHT ALLOWING FOR A
WARM FRONT TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW TO
AVECT MUCH WARMER AIR FROM THE SOUTH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BY
TUESDAY CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SHOULD BE INTERESTING ON TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
A COLD FRONT SWEEPS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION AND COLD HIGH
PRESSURE REBUILDS FROM THE NORTHWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT.
SOUTHWEST FLOW OF MOISTURE TO MAINTAIN POST-FRONTAL PRECIPITATION
ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AS TEMPERATURES COOL INTO THE
UPPER 20S BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...EXPECTING RAIN TO TRANSITION
TO SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WITH A MIX OF FREEZING
RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WEST CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.

OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL TROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN ON SATURDAY AS A SURFACE LOW
DEEPENS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD MOVING UPPER-
TROUGH FROM TEXAS. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  48  43  50  49  71 /  80  70  70  40  50
MLU  54  43  49  48  73 /  80  70  70  40  50
DEQ  45  38  44  40  62 /  40  60  50  50  70
TXK  45  39  44  43  66 /  70  70  60  50  70
ELD  45  39  45  43  69 /  80  70  70  40  50
TYR  45  42  50  48  69 /  50  70  60  40  60
GGG  47  43  50  49  70 /  60  70  70  40  50
LFK  56  49  57  56  74 /  70  60  70  30  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$







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