Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 051639
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1139 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT
BUT A LEFT OVER SHEAR AXIS REMAINS IN THE VICINITY OF THE I-20
CORRIDOR OF N LA. DEEP MOISTURE REMAINS AVAILABLE IN THE WAKE
OF THIS TROUGH AND WITH THE AID OF LATE MORNING HEATING...
ALREADY STARTING TO SEE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE I-20
CORRIDOR ACROSS EAST CENTRAL TX INTO WEST CENTRAL LA.

FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE...WILL KEEP VCTS GOING FOR ALL BUT THE TYR
TERMINAL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. CONVECTION
SHOULD DIE DOWN AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND SHEAR AXIS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION.

TERMINALS IN AND AROUND CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON CAN EXPECT GUSTY
WINDS AND BRIEF LIMITED VSBYS.

EXPECTING A RETURN TO IFR CEILINGS A COUPLE HOURS EITHER SIDE OF
SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING WITH THE CU FIELD CLIMBING AND SCATTERING
OUT BY 16Z MON.

13


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1109 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ONE UPPER TROUGH IS LIFTING NEWD INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY BUT
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER SE NEBRASKA WILL DIVE
SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE ARKLATEX THROUGH TONIGHT. ASCENT FROM THIS
SHORTWAVE SHOULD LEAD TO MORE SCT CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA. HAVE MADE
SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO POP GRIDS FOR THE REST OF TODAY BUT SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS WERE MAINTAINED.

UPDATED TEXT PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.

/09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  90  73  93  76 /  30  20  10  10
MLU  86  71  92  74 /  50  20  10  10
DEQ  87  70  90  74 /  30  20  10  20
TXK  88  73  91  75 /  30  20  10  20
ELD  87  70  92  74 /  40  20  10  10
TYR  91  73  92  76 /  20  10  10  10
GGG  91  73  92  76 /  30  10  10  10
LFK  92  74  93  76 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/13


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