Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 232323
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
523 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Gusty southwest winds continue across West Central Texas
terminals late this afternoon. Wind speeds may persist through
sunset, but then should begin to decline to 10 knots or less.
Cold front should move through the area Friday morning, shifting
winds around to the northwest. Otherwise, VFR conditions will
continue through Friday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 401 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Dry and cooler weather on tap for Friday...

An upper level trough will track east from the Rockies and across
the central Plains tonight, with an associated cold front dropping
south across the area after midnight. Tonight will be clear, with
winds diminishing across much of the area after sunset, except
across the Big Country where winds will remain elevated (10 to 15
mph) through the evening hours. Aforementioned front will usher in a
dry and cooler airmass for Friday, with afternoon highs still above
normal but about 20 degrees cooler than today, with highs in the
upper 60s and lower 70s. It will be breezy, with northwest winds 10
to 20 mph, subsiding by early evening.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

Temperatures may briefly touch the freezing mark Saturday morning
behind a cold front. Otherwise zonal flow aloft will allow a
quick return to breezy south winds and warmer temperatures Sunday
as a strong lee trough develops. Isolated thunderstorms possible
Sunday night, along and east of Junction to Brownwood line, as a a
surface trough moves through.

The rest of next week looks dry as Gulf moisture remains south
and dynamics to the north. Gusty southwest winds possible Tuesday,
mainly in the Big Country, as a surface low moves east across
Oklahoma. Another brief cool down Wednesday as a cold front moves
through.

Fire Weather...

A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for western portions of the
forecast area through early evening. Relative humdities will remain
in the 10 to 15 percent range for several more hours, along with
gusty southwest winds. Elsewhere, fire weather conditions will
remain elevated through sunset.

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions will develop again
on Friday as gusty northwest winds develop behind a cold front,
along with relative humidities dropping into the teens by afternoon.
At this time, it appears wind speeds will remain below Red Flag
Criteria and will not be issuing any fire weather headlines for
Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  45  68  32  55 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  43  71  32  65 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  42  74  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  42  70  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  44  68  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       42  71  32  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CST this evening for Coke-Crockett-
Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Nolan-Sterling-Taylor-Tom Green.

&&

$$

07



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