Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 102335
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
535 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Southwest winds will diminish quickly over the next hour or so
across much of West Central TX. However, a developing low-level
jet may result in occasional gusts near 15 kts overnight at KABI,
and to a lesser extent, KSJT. Otherwise, expect light southwest
winds through Thursday morning. A cold front will move into the
Big Country during the morning hours, shifting winds to the north
at KABI, eventually reaching KSJT and KBBD by late afternoon.
Skies will remain clear overnight, with a few high clouds
anticipated tomorrow.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 345 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Thursday)

..Above normal temperatures expected again on Thursday...

Breezy southwest winds and unseasonably warm temperatures prevail
across the area this afternoon. Wind speeds will diminish after
sunset, but remain around 10 to 12 mph across central and northern
counties overnight. This will result in slightly warmer
temperatures across much of the area, with overnight lows in the
upper 30s and lower 40s. Wind speeds will be lighter across
southern counties, with overnight lows mainly in the lower and
middle 30s along the I-10 corridor.

On Thursday, a weak cold front will move south across the Big
Country during the morning hours and will drift south to roughly a
San Angelo to Brownwood line by late afternoon. The only
noticeable effect from the front will be a wind shift to the
north and cooler temperatures behind the front. Skies will be
sunny on Thursday, with highs ranging from the upper 60s across
the Big Country, to the mid and upper 70s elsewhere.

LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through Wednesday)

Looks like the dry weather will continue through the long term
period. Also, temperatures will mainly be above normal, by as much
as 15 to 20 degrees for highs. An upper level northwest to west-
northwest flow pattern will dominate through the next 7 days. One
decent upper level short wave will move southeast(ECMWF most
intense with this system) early next week just east of our area.
As a result, any chance of rain will remain east of West Central
Texas. As for temperatures, highs will be mainly in the 70s. the
coolest day will be Saturday, with 60s across the Big Country.
Lows will mainly be in the 40s to around 50. Also, may see gusty
south to southwest winds Sunday and Tuesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  44  68  35  72 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  37  78  35  78 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  35  79  37  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

Johnson


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