Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 231934
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

VALID 251200Z - 311200Z

...DAY 3-5/WED-FRI -- SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH CONTINUED ENHANCED SOUTHWESTERLY DEEP
LAYER FLOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES/PLAINS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
AS LARGER-SCALE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS SLOWLY EAST. DAY 3-4/WED-THU
LOOK TO BE THE DAYS WHEN STRONGEST SWLY SFC WINDS...RH VALUES BELOW
12 PERCENT AND WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL ALIGN WITH
CRITICALLY DRY FUELS. EXPECT SWLY SFC WINDS AROUND 20-25 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...WIDESPREAD RH VALUES 10 PERCENT OR LESS...AND DRY
FUELS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN/ERN NM INTO THE WRN OK/TX PANHANDLES. THIS
AREA HAS ALREADY SEEN SEVERAL DAYS OF DRY DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS
BEHIND A SFC DRYLINE AND FINE FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY DRY BY
DAY 3. ELEVATED CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE ON DAY 5/FRI ACROSS PARTS OF
SRN/SERN NM INTO W TX ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. LOW RH
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST...BUT THE SURFACE LOW WILL SHIFT FURTHER
NORTHEAST AND UPPER FLOW WILL BE DECREASING SO W/SWLY SFC WINDS WILL
BE WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

BEYOND DAY 5/FRI...GENERALLY WEAK W/SWLY DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL REMAIN
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. THE
ABSENCE OF STRONGER WINDS SHOULD LIMIT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
HOWEVER.

..LEITMAN.. 05/23/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$


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