Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS21 KWNS 110753

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0152 AM CST Sun Dec 11 2016

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

A low-amplitude upper trough will progress eastward today from the
north-central CONUS to the Great Lakes region, and strong
mid/upper-level winds will remain over much of the CONUS. At the
surface, a large area of low pressure over the central and southern
High Plains early this morning will redevelop northeastward to the
lower Great Lakes by this evening. A cold front attendant to the
surface low will move southward across the southern Plains. Surface
lee troughing will continue ahead of the front over parts of the
southern High Plains this afternoon.

...Portions of the Southern High Plains...
Strong downslope winds of 20-30 mph will occur ahead of the
previously mentioned cold front this afternoon across portions of
eastern NM and west TX. Latest short-term guidance suggests
warming/drying associated with these westerly winds will allow RH
values to fall between 15-20% across parts of far west TX. With
marginally dry fine fuels across this region and better agreement
amongst model guidance in the placement of lowest RH values, these
forecast conditions support the introduction of a small elevated
area across portions of far west TX.

..Gleason.. 12/11/2016

...Please see for graphic product...

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