Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 302343

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
543 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015

Issued at 237 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015

The slow moving upper level storm system continues to affect the
region. With the upper low and the associated surface low tracking
north of the forecast area, there has been slight, but persistent
warm advection through the day. This has kept the entire forecast
area above freezing with no impact from the winter weather that`s
being experienced to our north. That will change this evening and
overnight. Colder air throughout the column will advect over the
area which will allow for a changeover to snow in extreme
northwestern Missouri. But it also looks like much of the
precipitation area will be moving away so any precipitation amounts
will be light, perhaps only a trace to a dusting.

With the slow progression of this system to the north and east, and
with cyclonic flow over the region, there will likely be scattered
flurries or snow showers off and on through Wednesday afternoon. The
best chances look to be Wednesday when a trailing shortwave moves
around the base of the upper low. This should provide enough lift to
wring out any moisture left in the area. For now have kept it just a
flurry mention but it`s possible some slight to chance PoPs may be

The remainder of the week looks quiet with high pressure tracking
across the area. In the upper levels, a ridge should move across the
center of the country and the combination of the two should allow
temperatures to warm into the 50s for the weekend. The next storm
system should then affect the region Sunday night into Monday. At
this time, temperatures aloft and at the surface will be above
freezing so we should just see rain out of it.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 529 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015

Light drizzle is expected to end over the next few hours. IR
satellite indicates that drier air and increasing cigs are working
their way across Kansas. Terminals may see a period where the cloud
deck will bounce between IFR, MVFR, and VFR as this drier air works
its way into the area. Generally WSW winds of 10 kts overnight and
increasing after daybreak, becoming gusty through the afternoon.
Stratocu deck will develop tomorrow behind the system.


.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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