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000
FXUS62 KKEY 021959
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
259 PM EST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW REGIME PERSISTS ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WITH A BORDERLINE MARITIME TROPICAL AIR MASS
PRESENT. CURRENTLY...AIR TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 80F IN MOST KEYS
ISLAND COMMUNITIES WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES NEAR 70F. KEY WEST
DOPPLER RADAR SCANS SHOW JUST A FEW SMALL SHOWERS OVER THE GULF
STREAM...WELL SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...WHILE SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. A DEEP-LAYER MEAN
RIDGE IS GOVERNING THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN...WITH FAIR AND FINE WEATHER
PREVAILING.

FORECAST REASONING ONCE AGAIN IS VERY SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS CYCLES...
WITH NO BIG ADJUSTMENTS NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON. THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WILL FEATURE BREEZY EAST WINDS AND ABOVE-AVERAGE AIR
TEMPERATURES. MEASURABLE RAIN CHANCES FOR MOST 12-HOUR PERIODS WILL
BE 10 PERCENT OR LESS.
&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
TONIGHT...WHERE SUSTAINED EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG WITH SEAS UP TO 6 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL WESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC THIS EVENING.
THE NEXT AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND ACROSS THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE EAST NEAR 10 KNOTS.`
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  74  82  75  83 / -  -  -  -
MARATHON  74  84  75  85 / -  -  -  -
&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........KASPER
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....11
DATA COLLECTION.......PARKE

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