Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 300559
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
159 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A LAND
BREEZE/DRAINAGE FLOW OF 5-10 KNOTS HAS DEVELOPED FOR BROWARD AND
PALM BEACH SITES AND THAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST UNTIL AROUND 14Z-
15Z OR SO. ELSEWHERE LIGHT VARIABLE TO NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS FOR MIA, OPF, AND TMB AND NE
WINDS AROUND 5 KTS AT APF. BY LATE MORNING EASTERLY WINDS OF 5-10
KTS WILL DEVELOP AT ALL EAST COAST SITES BACKING FROM THE NW AT
5-10 KTS AT APF BY EARLY AFTERNOON. BY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
LIGHT AND VARIABLE (OR FROM SE) WINDS OF 5 KTS OR LESS WILL
DEVELOP AT ALL SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 837 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD
INTO SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE WINDS OVER
SOUTH FLORIDA TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT...AND COULD
EVEN ALLOW FOR A LAND BREEZE TO SET UP OVER THE EAST COAST METRO
AREAS TOWARDS SUNRISE MONDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A LITTLE BIT
COOLER AIR TO WORK INTO THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS FROM THE
INTERIOR AREAS TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE LOWS HAVE BEEN DROP DOWN A
COUPLE OF DEGREES FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS TONIGHT INTO THE
MID 50S WELL INLAND AREAS TO LOWER 60S COASTAL AREAS. REST OF THE
FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AT THIS TIME AND NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED.

AVIATION...
THE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AFTER 02Z TONIGHT OVER ALL OF THE TAF SITES. THERE COULD BE A
LIGHT DRAINAGE FLOW OVER THE TAF SITES AROUND SUNRISE
MONDAY...BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 5 KNOTS. THE WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME EASTERLY AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER 14Z ON MONDAY. THE CEILING
AND VIS WILL ALSO REMAIN IN THE VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
OVER ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

UPDATE...54/BNB
AVIATION...54/BNB

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

.TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH WARMING TEMPS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK...

DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK.
THE TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST OF THE U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO PULL OUT
WITH MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW TAKING OVER ACROSS SOUTH FL. THIS WILL
RESULT IN TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAILING. WINDS WILL TURN
OUT OF THE EAST TOMORROW. FLOW OVER THE WARM GULF STREAM CURRENT
WILL LEAD TO WARMING TEMPS, ALONG WITH SLOWLY RISKING HEIGHTS.
GRADUAL WARMING ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL
BE THE TREND THIS WEEK...WITH LOWS OF AROUND 70 RETURNING TO
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BY WEEK`S END WITH HIGHS INTO THE 80S AREA
WIDE...AND WELL INTO THE 80S INTERIOR-WEST. A WEAKENING FRONT TRIES
TO MAKE IT INTO SOUTH FL MID WEEK...BUT AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE
THIS REMNANT BOUNDARY/MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH. HOWEVER,
SLIGHT MOISTURE INCREASE COULD ALLOW FOR JUST A FEW SHOWERS TO
AFFECT MAINLY INTERIOR SOUTH FL LATE WEEK...BUT KEEPING A DRY
FORECAST MOST LOCALES FOR NOW...IN LINE WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS.
/GREGORIA

MARINE...
WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT LESS THAN 15 KT THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SEAS
CORRESPONDINGLY LOW WITH NO HIGHLIGHTS NEEDED. GULF STREAM SEAS OF
4-5 FT TONIGHT WILL LOWER WITH SEAS EVERYWHERE EXPECTED TO BE 3 FT
OR LESS THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK GIVEN THE WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT EXPECTED. /GREGORIA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  77  61  80  66 /  10   0   0   0
FORT LAUDERDALE  77  65  80  68 /  10   0   0   0
MIAMI            79  65  81  69 /  10   0   0   0
NAPLES           76  59  78  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...52/PS
LONG TERM....30/KOB
AVIATION...52/PS



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