Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 272000
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
300 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

...DRY WEATHER CONTINUES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND...

.SHORT TERM... A DRY COLD FRONT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL MOVE
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS
EVENING. THIS FRONT WILL KEEP A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA TONIGHT REINFORCING THE DRY AND COOLER WEATHER.

LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S OVER MOST OF SOUTH
FLORIDA...EXCEPT UPPER 40S TO MID 50S OVER THE EAST COAST METRO
AREAS AND AROUND 40 FOR THE AREA WEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE
WINDS WILL ALSO BE AROUND 5 MPH OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS TO 5 TO 10
MPH OVER THE METRO AREAS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE WIND CHILL READINGS TO FALL INTO THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 40S OVER THE INTERIOR AND MID 30S FOR THE AREAS WEST OF
LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THEREFORE...NO WIND CHILL ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED
FOR GLADES COUNTY FOR TONIGHT.

FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN
DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
FROM THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR THE WIND
FLOW TO BECOME MORE NORTHEAST OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A SLOW WARMING
TREND THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HIGHS BY SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S AND LOWS IN THE 60S, EXCEPT AROUND 70 EAST COAST
METRO AREAS.

BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND WILL LEAD TO A
THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.LONG TERM...
THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WATERS NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR THE WIND FLOW TO SWING MORE
EASTERLY OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A LITTLE BIT OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO WORK BACK INTO SOUTH FLORIDA FROM THE EAST
LEADING TO ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS FOR
NEXT WEEK. THE WINDS WILL ALSO REMAIN BREEZY OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
NEXT WEEK KEEPING THE THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST
BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

&&

.MARINE...
THE WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS
OVER MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS TONIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT,
EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KNOTS FOR BISCAYNE BAY AND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
WATERS. THE WINDS WILL THEN SLOWLY SWING TO AN EASTERLY DIRECTION BY
LATE THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND REMAIN EASTERLY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

THE SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL BE 6 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT BEFORE
SLOWLY FALLING TO LESS THAN 7 FEET BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE ATLANTIC
SEAS WILL THEN REMAIN BELOW 7 FEET THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND. FOR THE
GULF SIDE...THE SEAS WILL BE 4 TO 6 FEET AND UP TO 8 FEET IN THE
OFFSHORE GULF WATERS TONIGHT...BEFORE FALLING BELOW 7 FEET BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THE GULF SEAS WILL THEN REMAIN BELOW 7 FEET THROUGH THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THEREFORE...AN SCA HAS BEEN PUT UP FOR THE GULF
WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND EXTENDED FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS UNTIL
FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. HOWEVER...THE
ERC OVER SOUTH FLORIDA IS IN THE LOWER 20S. THEREFORE...NO FIRE
WEATHER HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON FRIDAY AND INTO THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND
SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE THE 35 PERCENT CRITICAL VALUE...AS THE WINDS
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE MORE FROM THE EASTERLY DIRECTION
BRINGING IN ATLANTIC MOISTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  48  68  56  75 /   0  10  10  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  53  70  60  75 /   0  10  10  10
MIAMI            54  70  60  76 /   0  10  10  10
NAPLES           44  68  50  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR AMZ650-651-670-
     671.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR GMZ656-657-676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...54/BNB
LONG TERM....54/BNB


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