Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 280557
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1257 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS AS
ANOTHER COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. DRY
CONDITIONS AND CLEAR SKIES ARE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. NRLY WINDS
COULD GUST BETWEEN 15-20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. /85

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 735 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015/

UPDATE...
A DRY AND PLEASANT NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA WITH
CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES ARE STILL ON TRACK TO FALL INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 40S ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND LOW TO MID 50S ACROSS THE
GULF AND ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS. STILL EXPECTING A DRY COLD FRONT
TO PUSH INTO THE AREA TOWARDS DAYBREAK PROVIDING A REINFORCING
SHOT OF COLD AIR FOR WEDNESDAY WHEN HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD NOT
GET OUT OF THE 60S. OVERNIGHT FORECAST PARAMETERS LOOK GOOD AT
THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 637 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL
SHIFT FROM WESTERLY TO NORTHERLY TONIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA. DRY CONDITIONS AND CLEAR SKIES ARE
FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. A FEW LOW CLOUDS, MAINLY FEW030, ARE
EXPECTED AFTER DAYBREAK ON WEDNESDAY. NW WINDS COULD GUST BETWEEN
15-20 KNOTS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 335 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SYNOPSIS...
RELATIVELY COOL...DRY AIR WILL BE REINFORCED THIS WEEK BY A PAIR
OF COLD FRONTS. SIGNIFICANT WARMING IS UNLIKELY UNTIL THIS
WEEKEND...WHEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS ALSO IN THE FORECAST.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SILENTLY PASS THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA
TONIGHT...REINFORCING ALREADY COOL AND DRY AIR MASS. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL DURING THE
SHORT TERM. MINIMA TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S MOST
INTERIOR LOCATIONS...WITH LOW 50S IN THE METROPOLITAN AREAS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHTS SHOULD EACH BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS. MAXIMA WEDNESDAY MAY BE THE COOLEST OF THIS
RECENT COOL SNAP...RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 60S. THEN
THURSDAY TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE SLIGHT AND REACH LOW 70S. NO
RAIN IS ANTICIPATED AND SKIES WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY.

RIP CURRENTS ARE FAVORED ALONG THE WEST COAST INTO
WEDNESDAY...THEN BECOME MORE LIKELY ALONG THE EAST COAST ON
THURSDAY...AS NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10-15 MPH GRADUALLY TURN
NORTHEAST.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
DEEP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL LIFT
AND WEAKEN BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING FOR CANADIAN SURFACE RIDGE
THAT HAS BEEN DOMINATING SOUTH FLORIDA WEATHER TO MOVE EASTWARD
INTO THE ATLANTIC. AFTER ANOTHER WEAK FRONT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
REINFORCES NORTHWEST WINDS...WINDS WILL TURN NORTHEAST...THEN EAST
BY SATURDAY. A WARMING AND MOISTENING TREND WILL COMMENCE...AND
SUNDAY/MONDAY TEMPERATURE ARE FORECAST TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. IT
APPEARS MOISTURE MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SHOWERS AHEAD OF
ANOTHER WEAK FRONT ON MONDAY.

MARINE...
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FOR ATLANTIC WATERS...SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FEET WILL
BE COMMON IN AND NEAR THE GULF STREAM THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WHERE A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK...IT APPEARS WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  68  56  72  57 /   0   0   0   0
FORT LAUDERDALE  68  58  72  60 /   0   0   0   0
MIAMI            69  58  73  60 /   0   0   0   0
NAPLES           67  47  74  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ650-651-
     670-671.

GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...71/JE
LONG TERM....10/CD
AVIATION...71/JE



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