Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 290432

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1132 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

...Update for 06Z TAFs...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

Typical summer weather is in store through Thursday. Thunderstorms
will impact portions of the Plains and Midwest tonight. This
activity will slide southeastward late tonight but is expected to
diminish as it approaches. So, besides an outside chance of a
diminishing storm across central Missouri toward Thursday morning, dry
weather is expected through the day Thursday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

Yet another complex of storms will develop to our north later
Thursday. This activity will makes it way southeastward and could
enter central Missouri and southeastern Kansas late Thursday night
as it diminishes.

The front triggering these storms will push southward into the
Ozarks region during the day Friday. There is some question on the
placement and coverage of storm development Friday as a result of
lingering morning convection and placement of outflow boundaries.
At this time additional thunderstorms are expected to develop
along the advancing front from southeastern Kansas into southern
Missouri. Sufficient instability along with modest deep shear will
be supportive of some strong to locally severe storms during the
day Friday and possibly into Friday evening.

The front will push south of the area by Saturday morning
resulting in mostly dry weather Saturday and most of Sunday.

The chance of convection will return Sunday night into early next
week including the 4th of July as the front returns northward and
a series of upper level disturbances track across the region.
Organized severe weather is not expected at this but the weather
could be rather active Monday and Tuesday.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

Conditions should remain VFR through tomorrow at the terminals.
LLWS is possible tonight at SGF and JLN, with gusty south winds
again expected on Thursday. Thunderstorms may eventually affect
the TAF sites very late tomorrow night, but most likely after 06Z.




LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Boxell is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.