Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 122324
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
524 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 145 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

The series of dry frontal passages and fluctuating temperatures
will continue. Surface high pressure will build into the region
tonight then slide to the southeast Wednesday as the next dry cold
front moves across the region. Mild temperatures, increasing wind
and low relative humidity values will again result in elevated
fire weather conditions Wednesday. At this time it appears we will
remain below Red Flag thresholds but will be something to monitor
closely.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 145 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

Temperatures will cool back down Wednesday night and Thursday in
the wake of the passing cold front. Highs Thursday will generally
be around 40 degrees. A warming trend will return as we head into
Saturday as southerly surface winds return. We will continue to
closely monitor fire weather conditions as the fire weather risk
will range from limited to elevated on a daily basis.

Medium range models suggest a more pronounced upper level trough
will drop southeastward this weekend allowing for surface
cyclogenesis over the Lower Mississippi River valley and some
moisture return. Details are uncertain at this time but it appears
there will be at least a chance of precipitation across southern
Missouri into the eastern Ozarks Saturday night and Sunday. Some
wintry mix cannot be ruled out but forecast confidence on the
evolution of this system is very low at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 521 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

VFR conditions and clear skies will continue through Wednesday.
Low level wind shear conditions will develop tonight as a low
level jet stream strengthens over the region.

Surface winds will increase out of the southwest late tonight and
Wednesday morning before shifting to the west by afternoon with a
passing front. Gusts approaching 30 knots are expected.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Schaumann


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