Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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032
FXUS64 KSJT 091701
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1101 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

Extensive cloud cover between 4K and 6K feet continues at all
sites late this morning. This VFR cloud deck is forecast to slowly
dissipate by mid to late afternoon, with mostly clear skies
returning by this evening. South winds of 5 to 10 knots will
become light and variable overnight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 543 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours. Overcast skies
across the area early this morning at VFR heights are expected to
persist through the morning hours before warming from the surface
through this cloud layer scatters them out during the early
afternoon hours. Light easterly winds this morning will turn
southerly at around 10 knots by early afternoon. Winds will
diminish by 00Z this evening, and skies will remain mostly clear.
20

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 403 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Dry and quieter weather expected through the next 24 hours. As
surface ridging moves east from the Central Plains toward the
Mississippi Valley today, winds will shift from light easterly to
south/southwesterly at 10 to 15 mph. Warm air advection from the
surface through the low cloud layer should work to erode the low
clouds that are currently across the entire forecast area.
Although we don`t expect to see completely sunny skies by this
evening, we should see significant clearing during the afternoon.
This will help push temperatures at least into the 40s this
afternoon, but it will be hard to get much warmer than low to mid
40s with such a cold air mass in place to start the day. Although
we expect clear skies tonight, expect to see similar lows as
current temperatures this morning, falling to around 30 degrees in
most places with stronger winds, and southerly flow advecting some
moisture back into the area.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)

Warm temperatures and gusty south to southwest winds are in store
this weekend across West Central Texas. Low level southwest flow,
and 850 MB warm air advection will be the main players for the big
warm up. Highs will be in the 50s Saturday, warming into the upper
60s to lower 70s Sunday. Lows will be in the 40s. The mild weather
will continue into early next week, with highs mainly in the 60s.

(Tuesday Night through Friday)

The next strong cold front will move south across West Central Texas
Wednesday. Expect colder temperatures for Wednesday across the
Big Country, with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s, and upper
40s to around 50 across the entire area Thursday. Lows will be in
the 30s Thursday morning. Going with a dry forecast for the long
term period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  41  30  56  45 /   0   0   0   5
San Angelo  45  29  58  44 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  45  28  54  45 /   0   0   5  10
Brownwood  42  28  55  46 /   0   0   0  10
Sweetwater  40  30  55  43 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       42  27  53  39 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels



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