Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 021720
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1220 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. WITH DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS RUNNING IN THE 30 TO 40
DEGREES RANGE, THE STRONGER SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE
DOWNBURST WINDS TO 35 KNOTS. WE HAVE VCSH MENTIONED AT KABI, KSJT,
AND KSOA WHERE THOSE TERMINALS STAND A BETTER CHANCE OF SEEING
CONVECTION. ALL PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 706 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL AFFECT TERMINALS THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE, VFR NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS 10 KTS
OR LESS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

SHORT TERM... (TODAY AND TONIGHT)

HRRR AND GFS MODELS INDICATED SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING SOUTH INTO THE THE BIG COUNTRY TODAY, IN WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE BIG
COUNTRY TODAY AND TONIGHT. UPPER RIDGING OTHERWISE SHOULD ELSEWHERE
SUPPRESS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID
AND UPPER 90S, MAINLY DUE TO INCREASED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LONG TERM(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...

A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH AT MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MOVE
TOWARD THE EAST GRAZING NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT COMBINED
WITH STRONG SURFACE HEATING WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE AIR
AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW BRIEF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE BIG COUNTRY AND WESTERN MOST COUNTIES INTO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. THE TROUGH MOVES EAST AWAY FROM THE AREA ON MONDAY AND
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS IN ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL PROVIDE
DRY WEATHER AND HOT TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE 100
DEGREE MARK THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE  97  74  99  76 /  20  10  10   5
SAN ANGELO  99  74 100  74 /  10   5   5   5
JUNCTION  98  72  99  72 /  10   5   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION: DOLL



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