Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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802
FXUS64 KSJT 221117
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
517 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue at all terminals through the next 24
hours. Northwest winds of 20 to 30 knots, with gusts to near 40
knots, will continue this morning. Winds will slowly decrease
into the 15 to 25 knots range by mid to late morning, becoming
light this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

..Windy conditions to continue into the afternoon...

An upper closed low over northeast Texas this morning will continue
to track rapidly eastward as upper ridging builds over the forecast
area from the west. Very windy conditions will continue for most of
the day with a Wind Advisory remaining in effect until 3 PM. Wind
speeds will begin to decrease substantially later this afternoon.
Otherwise, expect mostly sunny skies with afternoon highs in the low
to mid 60s. Tonight will be mostly clear with morning lows in the
upper 30s.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

..Dry with Cooler Temperatures Mid to Late Week...

The Long Term forecast remains dry, with temperatures above
seasonal normals for Monday and Tuesday, followed by cooler
temperatures. Models indicate a short-wave ridge aloft will move
over the region by noon on Monday. Then, another Pacific front
pushes across Texas, from west to east, late Monday night into
Tuesday. That front will again bring gusty surface winds to West
Central Texas on Tuesday and cooler temperatures for the remainder
of the Long Term. Gusty winds from the west on Tuesday will
produce elevated to near critical fire weather conditions across
West Central Texas. From Tuesday night through the end of this
work week, the upper flow becomes more west to east; however, a
short-wave trough aloft will push a weak cold front into West
Central Texas Friday afternoon. For Wednesday through Saturday,
afternoon highs will be much closer to seasonal normals, mainly in
the 50s. The GFS does indicate the potential for some
precipitation, across mainly our eastern counties on Saturday;
however, the ECMWF is dry. So, a dry forecast looks reasonable for
Saturday, until models come into agreement.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  62  37  73  47 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  65  37  76  48 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  67  36  75  48 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  62  36  72  45 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  61  38  71  48 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       66  36  73  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for Brown-Callahan-
Coke-Coleman-Concho-Fisher-Haskell-Jones-Kimble-Mason-McCulloch-
Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-
Throckmorton.

High Wind Warning until 10 AM CST this morning for Crockett-
Irion-Schleicher-Tom Green.

Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 3 PM CST this afternoon
for Crockett-Irion-Schleicher-Tom Green.

&&

$$

99/99/99



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