Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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961
FXUS64 KLZK 041946
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
246 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

A COLD FRONT IS MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE CWA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...EVIDENT IN THE WIND SHIFT AND CU FIELD IN VIS SAT
IMAGERY. SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS WERE ALSO SEEN AHEAD AND BEHIND THIS
FRONT...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT
PROGRESSES SOUTH. DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FOR MOST AREAS AS
MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN LIMITED. HOWEVER...SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY
COULD DEVELOP ACROSS EXTREME ERN AND SERN AR LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...BUT POTENTIAL IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN FORECAST AT
THIS TIME.

WINDS WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES ACROSS
THE CWA. SOME INCREASED WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SEEN FOR THU
AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY FROM MIXING...BUT WILL BE LESS INTENSE THAN
SEEN THIS WED AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRI AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ARKANSAS WILL BE SITTING UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
PROVIDING MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS. BY SUNDAY NIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL RETURN USHERING IN GULF MOISTURE AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM MOVING
IN FROM THE WEST. INTRODUCED SLIGHT POPS IN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...SPREADING EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. THIS WILL BE
THE START OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER PERIOD PERSISTING THROUGH MIDWEEK.
WITH THE UPPER LOW WELL TO THE NORTH...SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME
LOOKS LIMITED. HOWEVER...THIS COULD CHANGE AND WILL BE MONITORED
CLOSELY. HIGH TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 80S
WITH LOWS IN THE 60S. EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS HEADING INTO THE
WORK WEEK ON ACCOUNT OF THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND RAIN
CHANCES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     47  73  46  78 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         51  77  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       44  72  45  79 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    50  76  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  51  75  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     52  74  50  79 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      48  76  47  81 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  45  73  45  80 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        46  73  46  78 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     51  74  49  78 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   47  76  47  81 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         48  74  46  78 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      50  73  49  78 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...62 / LONG TERM...61



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