Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 271659
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1058 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...SRN/CNTRL PLAINS..
OVER WRN KS AND FAR ERN CO...SUSTAINED NWLY SURFACE WINDS WILL
APPROACH 30 MPH IN THE WAKE OF A DRY AND RELATIVELY WARM COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY IN THE DAY. DESPITE THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT...HIGHS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S /20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE/ WITH RESULTANT MIN RH
VALUES FROM 20 TO 25 PERCENT. AS A RESULT...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE STILL ANTICIPATED WITH NO CHANGE NEEDED TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

GUSTY SWLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FARTHER S AND E /FROM CNTRL OK NEWD
INTO E-CNTRL KS/ BUT RH VALUES WILL LIKELY STAY ABOVE 25 PERCENT.
SOME LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BUT THE
GENERAL THREAT CURRENTLY APPEARS TOO LOW/ISOLATED TO DELINEATE A
THREAT AREA WITH THIS FORECAST.

..MOSIER.. 01/27/2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0241 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

...SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH-AMPLITUDE MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD OFFSHORE
OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD...WITH MORE ZONAL FLOW ESTABLISHED UPSTREAM
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS. A PAIR OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW WILL TRANSIT EWD ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS
AND MIDWEST. IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CNTRL
PLAINS...SFC HIGH PRES WILL BUILD AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST
TOWARDS THE MS VALLEY.

...WRN KS AND FAR ERN CO...
ANOTHER DAY OF ELEVATED FIRE WX IS FORECAST AS BREEZY AND DRY
CONDITIONS DEVELOP BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT. WHILE TEMPS
WILL BE COOLER THAN THOSE OF THE PREVIOUS DAY...THEY WILL STILL BE
AROUND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...GENERALLY IN THE MID/UPPER 60S.
DIURNAL MIXING WILL COMBINE WITH ADEQUATE NWLY FLOW TO PRODUCE
SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 20-30 MPH ACROSS THE AREA.
FURTHERMORE...ADIABATIC DRYING FROM DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS WILL PROMOTE
MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20-25 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WITH
ADDITIONAL DRYING OF FINER FUELS...ELEVATED FIRE WX CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY ON D2/WED AND A DELINEATION HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FOR PORTIONS
OF WRN KS AND FAR ERN CO.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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