Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 190156
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
756 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

AREA OF SPRINKLES JUST SOUTH OF SELMA AND MONTGOMERY HAS BEEN
DECREASING IN COVERAGE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...AND THIS
TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. WILL BE ABLE TO CONTINUE WITH THE
(MEASURABLE) RAIN FREE FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONTINUED INFLUX OF CLOUDINESS FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES HAVE MANAGED TO DROP A FEW
DEGREES...MORE-SO WHERE THE CLOUDS WERE THINNEST OR LATE TO ARRIVE.
WILL MAKE THE NECESSARY ADJUSTMENTS...AND HAVE UPDATES OUT SOON.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

DISTURBANCE NUMBER ONE IS NOW TO THE SW OF THE AREA AND WILL
REMAIN WEST AND SOUTH OF TAF SITES FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. BY 15Z
WE WILL BEGIN TO SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND MAYBE EVEN SOME
SPRINKLES FOR TCL...MGM AND TOI. BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL BE AT
TOI AND MGM AFTER 15Z AND THEN LIKELY RAIN AFTER 20 AND 21Z.
FURTHER NORTH AND EAST...LOOKS LIKE THE BULK OF THE RAIN WILL HOLD
OFF UNTIL AFTER 00Z...BUT A STRAY SHOWER WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER
21Z AS THE SYSTEM SLIDES NORTHEAST AND SPREADS OUT. BETTER RAIN
CHANCES ACROSS THE AFTER AFTER 00Z SATURDAY...AND WILL BEGIN TO BE
ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE NEXT SET OF TAFS.

16


&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$




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