Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 230505 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1205 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

AUTUMN IS NOW UPON US OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA...BOTH ON THE CALENDAR
AND OUT THE WINDOW. DRY DEW POINTS IN THE 40S AND 50S WERE BEING
OBSERVED ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS HAVE PERSISTED A
BIT LONGER THIS EVENING AND HAVE KEPT THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED
MORE TO PREVENT RAPID COOLING SO FAR. HOWEVER...THE WINDS WILL
EVENTUALLY DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT AND OBSERVATION SITES SHOULD BE
ABLE TO DROP FAIRLY QUICKLY. THEREFORE...THE CURRENT LOW TEMPS FOR
TONIGHT APPEAR TO BE ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES ARE NECESSARY. LOWER
50S TO PERHAPS UPPER 40S IN SHELTERED LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED
NORTH...TO THE MID 50S SOUTH. WE`RE WATCHING A BAND OF LOW STRATUS
CLOUDS IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD WITH A BIT MORE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THAT AREA. WITH THE STRONG DRY AIR
ADVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...IT`S GOING TO BE TOUGH TO GET
THAT MOISTURE INTO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. THEREFORE...HAVE
ONLY INTRODUCED PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES INTO THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES
TUESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND UPDATES
ARE ALREADY OUT.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR FORECAST FOR MOST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH NORTH/
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT. THERE MAY BE ONE
EXCEPTION TO THIS AT TOI. 11-3.9 MICRON SATELLITE/AND METARS ARE
INDICATING SOME IFR/LIFR STRATUS MOVING TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
ACROSS GEORGIA. THIS COULD SKIM TOI IF IT HOLDS TOGETHER. IT WILL
BE FIGHTING THE DRIER AIR PUSHING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA. WILL TEMPO
IN AT TOI FOR NOW TOWARD MORNING. OTHERWISE...CLEAR SKIES.

08/MK

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL BEGIN ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA. THE FORECAST WILL BEGIN OCTOBER 5TH AT 00Z
AND LAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     51  79  52  80  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    54  79  55  79  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  54  81  57  80  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  53  84  58  83  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      55  81  57  80  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      58  82  56  81  60 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  57  83  59  83  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        57  83  58  81  59 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

56/08





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