Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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FXUS62 KCAE 290255
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1055 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT HAS CROSSED THE REGION AND COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
ENTER OUR REGION FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE WILL RETURN
TO THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA WITH DEWPOINT
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SKIES HAVE ALSO BECOME
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A FEW REMAINING CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN
MIDLANDS. WITH THE WINDS TURNING NORTHERLY COOLER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL
CONDITIONS EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
FAIR WEATHER. FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TUESDAY. AN UNSEASONABLY DEEP
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE E CONUS WILL DIRECT COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO
OUR REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
BUILDING INTO THE MID ATLANTIC.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS WE ENTER INTO THE LONGER TERM PERIOD...THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH
AXIS WILL RETROGRADE WESTWARD...WHICH WILL PUT THE AREA UNDER A
MORE SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW...ALONG WITH ALLOWING A WEAK ONSHORE
FLOW TO DEVELOP OFF THE ATLANTIC. THIS WILL BRING MOISTURE BACK
INTO THE REGION...ALLOWING FOR AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES ONCE
AGAIN AS WE ENTER INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE 24 HR FORECAST PERIOD.

COOLER AND DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO WORK INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTH BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD
AROUND 5 TO 7 KNOTS. SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE
LATER TONIGHT AS DRIER AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY AS MOISTURE RETURNS DUE TO AN EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC.

&&

.CLIMATE...
A COMBINATION OF WIND AND HIGH CLOUDINESS PROVIDED WARM MIN TEMPS
THIS MORNING...82 AT CAE AND 80 AT AGS.

RECORD HIGH MIN TEMPERATURE FOR JUL 28TH AT COLUMBIA IS 78
DEGREES LAST SET IN 1936.

AT AUGUSTA...THE RECORD HIGH MIN TEMPERATURE FOR JULY 28TH IS
82...ALSO SET IN 1936.

LOW TEMPERATURES FOR THE CALENDAR DAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE REACHED AT
MIDNIGHT EST..OR 100 AM EDT...TONIGHT AS COOLER AIR ENTERS THE
REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT. SO...SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER
THE DAILY HIGH MIN TEMP RECORD FOR THE CALENDAR DAY OF JULY 28TH WILL
BE TIED OR BROKEN AT CAE. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT TEMPS WILL
FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S AT CAE BY 100 AM EDT.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$









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