Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FXUS62 KCAE 250619
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
219 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THROUGH TUESDAY. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE RIDGE
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE AREA. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH JUST HIGH THIN CLOUDINESS AT TIMES. LEANED
TOWARD THE WARMER TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE BECAUSE IT HAS GENERALLY
VERIFIED BETTER LATELY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THE DRY SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN NEAR THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. ALOFT...THE UPPER RIDGING WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA FROM THE WEST. WARMING TEMPERATURES SHOULD OCCUR AND THE
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAY DRY HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING TO
DOMINATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA
SUPPORTS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE REST OF THE PERIOD. THE
MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN CONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT
AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE. THE LATEST GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS
HAVE POPS 10 TO 20 PERCENT WEDNESDAY...AND 20 TO 50 PERCENT
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENT WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MAINLY VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE/TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
SKIES WILL BE CLEAR WITH NEAR CALM WINDS. COULD SEE MVFR OR LOWER
FOG AT AGS AND OGB 09Z-12Z AS RADIATIONAL COOLING TAKES PLACE AND
GIVEN LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST
TODAY WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING LIGHT WESTERLY BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






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