Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 030432
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1132 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.AVIATION...
NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS TAF PACKAGE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND A
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND GENERALLY LESS THAN 12 KNOTS.

NO STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING DUE TO
PREVAILING LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE OVER THE REGION.

79

&&

.UPDATE...
DO NOT SEE ANY REASON TO UPDATE THE CURRENT FORECAST AS PLEASANT
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT UNDER A "STRAWBERRY MOON".

HOWEVER...DID UPDATE THE HOURLY GRIDS TO BETTER REFLECT CURRENT
AND EXPECTED CONDITIONS TONIGHT. 75

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 241 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015/
SOME REMNANT CONVECTION THAT ORIGINATED IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
YESTERDAY MADE ITS WAY SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS...BUT THEN
DIED OUT JUST BEFORE MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF
THE CWA. THERE STILL REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS REMAINING VORTICITY. MOST OF
THE STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HIGHER BASED. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS DRY SO WENT WITH SOME LOW POPS AND NO QPF.

ELSEWHERE...IT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
CONTINUES TO HOLD TIGHT. THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER TEXAS THROUGH
MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT AND GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH UNDER THE RIDGE.

MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE BREAKING DOWN AT SOME POINT MID NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TO INCREASE AND
TEMPERATURES COOL SLIGHTLY. HOWEVER...HAVE LEFT PRECIPITATION OUT OF
THE FORECAST AT THIS POINT DUE TO NO MODEL AGREEMENT OR CONFIDENCE
OF TIMING THAT FAR OUT.

78/JG



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  69  89  71  89  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  88  68  88  67 /   0   0   0   0   5
PARIS, TX             66  85  68  87  68 /   0   5   0   5   0
DENTON, TX            68  88  69  88  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          67  87  69  87  68 /   0   0   0   5   5
DALLAS, TX            70  89  71  89  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           67  87  70  88  69 /   0   0   0   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         68  87  69  87  69 /   0   0   0   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            68  88  67  87  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     67  88  67  88  66 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

79/75



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