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000
FXUS63 KICT 171129
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
629 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

A stable post-frontal regime is expected across the area today
with seasonable temperatures and dry weather conditions. Highs this
afternoon will top out in the upper 80s or around 90 for most
areas.

Probabilities for showers and storms may return late tonight,
especially for areas along and west of highway 14 where H85 moisture
transport/elevated instability is progged to return toward morning
as a shortwave trough digs across the northern plains states. A
trailing frontal boundary may provide a focus for deep moist
convection across much of the area into the day on Friday and
Friday night.

Dry weather is still expected on Saturday with temperatures
remaining slightly above normal in the low to mid 90s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

Unsettled weather may return late in the weekend and into early
next week as a subtle storm system lifts out of the Southern
Rockies and over the Central Plains states. Mid/upper troughing is
progged across the Great Lakes area as we move toward the middle
of the week with northwest mid/upper flow prevailing across the
Central Plains. Low pops were maintained through much of the
period with highs in the 90s. A more vigorous cold front will
arrive toward the end of the period bringing increasing chances
for storms and a surge of cooler air to the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning)
Issued at 629 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

VFR conditions are expected for most locations for the next 24
hours. The one minor exception will be for a few more hours this
morning near KCNU where abundant low level moisture may lead to MVFR
vsbys and LIFR cigs for a few more hours.

Ketcham

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    88  69  91  69 /   0  20  30  30
Hutchinson      88  66  91  67 /   0  20  30  20
Newton          87  66  89  67 /   0  10  30  20
ElDorado        87  67  88  67 /   0  10  30  30
Winfield-KWLD   89  68  90  69 /   0  10  30  40
Russell         89  65  93  64 /   0  40  20  10
Great Bend      89  66  93  65 /   0  40  20  10
Salina          89  68  93  65 /   0  20  30  10
McPherson       88  66  91  65 /   0  20  30  10
Coffeyville     87  65  89  69 /  10   0  30  50
Chanute         86  66  88  68 /  10   0  20  40
Iola            85  65  87  68 /   0   0  20  40
Parsons-KPPF    87  66  89  69 /  10   0  30  40

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...Ketcham