Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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000
FXUS64 KJAN 220752
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
252 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...COOLER AND DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE REINFORCING FRONT. DUE TO THIS THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST WILL BE PRIMARILY A TEMP TYPE FORECAST. OVERALL...GUIDANCE
HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON TEMPS AND VALUES WILL BE FOLLOWED. THE
EXCEPTION CONTINUES TO BE WITH TODAY WHERE A COMBINATION OF THE NAM
OR RAW GUIDANCE SEEMS TO FIT THE SITUATION BETTER. HIGHS TODAY WILL
BE SOME 3-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY WITH A RANGE ACROSS THE
CWA OF 70-77 DEGREES. SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
INTO FRI MORNING WITH LOWS THE NEXT TWO NIGHTS MAINLY IN THE 40-45
DEGREE RANGE. HIGHS THU WILL REFLECT THE SAME TREND AND RANGE FROM
70-75. /CME/

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY... THE FORECAST
CONTINUES TO REMAIN FAIRLY QUIET ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
MUCH OF THE LONG TERM AS HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS A FIRM GRIP OVER THE
REGION.  WHILE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS THROUGH MOST OF THE
PERIOD...SOME DISCREPANCIES DO CREEP INTO THE MODELS COME NEXT
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT IN REGARDS TO WHETHER A WEAK FRONT WILL
OR WILL NOT PUSH INTO AND THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BRINGING OUR
NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN...ALBEIT A SMALL CHANCE.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL MODERATE UP A COUPLE OF DEGREES
EACH DAY FROM THE MID 70S TO START THE PERIOD FRIDAY...TO AROUND 80
TO END THE FORECAST PERIOD NEXT WEDNESDAY.  LOWS WILL ALSO FOLLOW
SUIT AS THEY BEGIN THE PERIOD FRIDAY NIGHT RANGING FROM THE MID 40S
TO AROUND 50...AND END THE PERIOD NEXT TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE MIDDLE
50S. /19/

&&

.AVIATION...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF INSTANCE OF MVFR VIS CONDITIONS
AT A SITE OR TWO UNTIL 13Z...BUT THE PREVAILING CONDITIONS WILL BE
VFR TODAY/TONIGHT. LOOK FOR STEADY NNE WINDS TODAY WITH A DECREASE
IN WINDS FOR TONIGHT. /CME/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       75  43  73  43 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      74  39  73  41 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     76  42  73  41 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   78  45  76  44 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       76  46  73  45 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    73  44  70  43 /   0   0   4   0
GREENWOOD     72  41  71  42 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

CME/19/





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