Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 080729
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
229 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
KBYX DETECTS NO PRECIPITATION ECHOES. SKIES OVER THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE
PARTLY CLOUDY. WINDS OVER LAND ARE NORTHWEST TO NORTH NEAR 15 MPH.
C-MAN WINDS...ON AVERAGE...ARE NORTHWEST TO NORTH AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 60 DEGREES.

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND EASTWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
TO OVER SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE
FLORIDA KEYS LATE TONIGHT. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY
PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES IN THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST
WILL BE HIGHEST TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL WEAKEN FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PROGRESS SOUTHWARD DOWN THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS COLD FRONT COULD
PASS THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO UNTIL THE MIDDLE TO LATE PORTION OF THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES IN THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE NORTHWEST TO NORTH BREEZES WILL TURN TO THE WEST THIS
AFTERNOON. NO ADVISORIES EXPECTED TODAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR ALL KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. NO ADVISORIES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST 09/06Z AT BOTH
THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON INTERNATIONAL TERMINALS. WINDS WILL BE THE
ISSUE AS NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS DECREASE THROUGH 09/18Z...THEN
TURN WEST AND INCREASE TO NEAR 15 KNOTS AND GUSTY AFTER 09/21Z.
THERE WILL BE NO CROSS WIND IMPACTS DUE TO THE WESTERLY COMPONENT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON THIS DATE IN FLORIDA KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...IN 1895...THE LOW
TEMPERATURE IN KEY WEST WAS 49 DEGREES. THIS SET THE DAILY RECORD FOR
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE MEASURED IN KEY WEST ON FEBRUARY 8TH...A RECORD
WHICH STILL STANDS 121 YEARS LATER. TEMPERATURE RECORDS AT KEY WEST
DATE BACK TO 1872.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  68 61 70 59 / 0 20 10 -
MARATHON  68 59 72 57 / 0 20 10 -

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........BS
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....BWC

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