Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
000
FXUS62 KMLB 301406
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1006 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...Ridge axis of high pressure over the west Atlantic
will remain across the southern Florida Peninsula today. Low level
winds will remain light enough for sea breeze boundaries to move
inland through the afternoon. Convection is already ongoing on the
west coast of central FL where morning sounding at TBW shows
greater moisture (PW of 2 inches) exists, while XMR is drier,
especially aloft. Any showers or storms should therefore remain
limited as the east coast sea breeze initially moves inland, with
greatest coverage of convection over the interior counties where
moisture is higher and boundary collisions are favored. Rain
chances range from 20 percent or less along the coast, increasing
up to 50 percent over Lake County this afternoon.

Plenty of sunshine to start today for temperatures to warm into
the low 90s along the coast to mid 90s inland. Humid conditions
will generate heat index values up to around 100-105.

&&

.AVIATION...Best chance for tempo IFR/MVFR conds in iso/sct
showers and storms will be across the interior TAF sites this
afternoon, roughly between 18-23Z. May need to add tempo groups
for these sites with next update.

&&

.MARINE...Favorable boating conditions expected. S/SW winds will
become E/SE and increase up to around 10 knots near the coast as
sea breeze develops and moves inland. Seas will range from 1-2
feet. Steering winds should keep afternoon showers and storms over
inland areas.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  93  75  92  76 /  20  20  20  10
MCO  96  75  93  75 /  40  20  30  20
MLB  93  76  90  77 /  20  20  30  10
VRB  92  74  89  72 /  20  20  40  10
LEE  95  77  95  77 /  50  20  30  20
SFB  95  76  94  76 /  30  20  20  20
ORL  95  76  93  76 /  40  20  30  20
FPR  92  74  89  73 /  20  20  40  10

&&

.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Weitlich/Volkmer



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.