Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 260134

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
934 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2016


TONIGHT... Satellite/RAP analysis shows small upper level low
sliding west/southwest across the northern peninsula.  There`s an
area of clouds associated with it but not a lot of precip.  The 18z
GFS indicated area of drier air, that was across the north half of
the area, will push away to the west into the Gulf of Mexico.
Precipitable water is forecast to remain high overnight.  Deep
easterly flow should push scattered showers over the Atlantic
towards shore and expect at least isolated coverage along the coast.
Don`t see enough to change the current slight chance PoPs in the
forecast though. Proximity of Gulf Stream to the southern counties
may also support a small chance of lightning storms there.


.AVIATION...Mainly VFR except for local MVFR ceilings along the
coast especially in vicinity of onshore moving showers through
early morning. Expect scattered PoPs inland Friday afternoon.


Tonight-Friday...Overall pressure gradient supporting near 15 knot
northeast/east winds but buoy 41009 has only been around 10 knots.
Seas were around 4 feet though and expect 10-15 knot winds will fill
in over most of the waters. The wind chop on top of a fresh swell
will produce poor conditions for small craft operation.


.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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