Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 200256
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1045 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Noticeable drying today limited convective coverage to interior
Martin county and Lake county. Band of deeper moisture is lifting NW
from the Bahamas and this will bring an increase in shower activity
overnight to the Atlantic waters and the adjacent treasure coast so
have maintained chance PoPs there. Rain chances will increase Sunday
across the south half of the FA assocd with the deeper moisture so
50-60 percent PoPs are advertised south of Orlando. GFS MOS
indicates a tight PoP gradient across the north with 30 PoPs north
of Orlando. Clouds and precip should limit max temps across the
south to the upper 80s with mid 90s north and west of Orlando.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR most of the night. Deeper moisture lifting NW will bring
scattered showers toward the Treasure coast by morning. Higher
coverage of showers/storms expected Sunday south of MCO assocd with
deeper moisture.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight-Mon...Onshore flow will begin to increase over the
southern waters late tonight into Sunday with an increase in
showers and perhaps a storm over the open waters into early
Sunday. E/SE flow early Sunday will become a little stronger from
the SE, allowing seas to build slight, reaching up to 4 feet well
offshore. Increasing coverage of onshore moving showers and
storms.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  91  77  90 /  10  30  30  30
MCO  77  93  76  93 /  20  40  20  30
MLB  78  89  78  90 /  20  50  30  20
VRB  76  89  75  91 /  20  60  30  20
LEE  77  95  77  93 /  20  30  20  30
SFB  77  93  76  93 /  20  30  30  30
ORL  78  93  77  93 /  20  40  30  30
FPR  76  89  76  91 /  30  60  30  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

Kelly/Bragaw/Combs


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