Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KMLB 060153
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
853 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...TURNING CLOUDY...COOLER AND DAMP ON FRIDAY...

.CURRENT-TONIGHT...COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS
EVENING AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD. LIGHT PRECIPITATION
REMAINS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TOWARD SUNRISE...MAINLY I-4
NORTHWARD. SW/W FLOW WILL VEER TO NW/N BEHIND THE BOUNDARY LATE
TONIGHT AND TOWARD DAYLIGHT FRI MORNING. OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY MILD
AND IN THE 60S...EXCEPT UPPER 50S ACROSS FAR NORTH LAKE AND NW
VOLUSIA COUNTIES. CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
THICKNESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR MAY SEE SOME
PATCHY FOG LATE OVERNIGHT AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. UPDATE TO ZONES TO
BE SENT OUT SHORTLY.

FRI...PREVIOUS...LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE STEADY
PROGRESSION SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA...BRINGING WITH IT INCREASED
CLOUD COVER AND LIGHT SHOWERS AS IT MOVES THROUGH. WINDS WILL
QUICKLY VEER TO OUT OF THE NORTH BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. FLOW REMAINS ZONAL ALOFT...SO
SOME UPGLIDE...ALBEIT NOT TERRIBLY STRONG...EXPECTED TO KEEP THE THE
AREA UNDER SEVERAL LAYERS OF LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW.

HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY POSE A BIT OF A QUANDARY...AS
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S
ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES. SUSPECT THE MODELS MAY BE UNDERPLAYING
THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL COLD DUE TO ITS VERY SHALLOW
NATURE...SIMILAR TO THE EVENT LAST WEEKEND...SO HAVE DECIDED TO
UNDERCUT MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES. WILL NEED TO MONITOR TRENDS
UPSTREAM ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT TO SEE IF MAX
TEMPS MIGHT NEED TO BE LOWERED EVEN FURTHER.

REGARDLESS...TOMORROW WILL FEEL DIFFERENT...PERHAPS EVEN RAW
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...GIVEN HOW WARM AND PLEASANT IT HAS BEEN
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH
MVFR/IFR CIGS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. PATCHY FOG CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE TONIGHT
INTO EARLY FRI MORNING AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. WESTERLY LIGHT FLOW
WILL TRANSITION TO NW/N BEHIND THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRI
MORNING. LOW CLOUDS TO HANG AROUND FOR ENTIRE DAY. N/NNE WINDS LATE
IN THE DAY WILL INCREASE AND BE GUSTY INTO THE EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...OVERNIGHT/FRI...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
SOUTHWEST/WEST THIS EVENING AND NORTHWEST/NORTH LATE OVERNIGHT WITH
THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. WIND SPEEDS 10-15 KTS WILL
INCREASE TO 15-17 KTS OFFSHORE/NORTH OF VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE
TOWARDS DAYBREAK. SEAS 3-4 FT NEAR SHORE 3-5 FEET OFFSHORE TONIGHT
STEADILY INCREASING BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE FRI MORNING.

&&

.CLIMATE...

TWO RECORD HIGHS FOR TODAY TIED FOR MARCH 5TH...

DAB 5-MAR  87 LAST SET IN 1985.
MLB 5-MAR  88 LAST SET IN 1982.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SEDLOCK/SHARP



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.