Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 112000
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
300 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TYPICAL JULY HEAT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND... ALLOWING
HEAT INDICES RANGING FROM 100 TO 105 SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL OF
OUR AREA EXCEPT NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

AS HAS BEEN WIDELY ADVERTISED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS... AN
UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT. AN AIRMASS ORIGINATING GENERALLY NORTH OF THE ARCTIC CIRCLE
WILL SUBSEQUENTLY FILTER INTO THE FORECAST AREA AND REMAIN FOR MUCH
OF THE UPCOMING THE WORK WEEK. IT APPEARS THAT MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES
MONDAY WILL STILL BE ABLE TO REACH SEASONAL AVERAGES... HOWEVER
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WILL SEE BOTH MAXES AND
MINS RUNNING 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW
GETS ESTABLISHED. CURRENTLY... MODELS HAVE THE HIGHEST PRECIP
CHANCES DURING THIS TIME PERIOD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  96  77  97 /   0   0   0  10
FSM   71  97  73  96 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   72  97  74  96 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   72  96  75  98 /   0   0   0  10
FYV   68  92  70  92 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   69  92  70  92 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   71  95  73  97 /   0   0   0  10
MIO   71  95  73  96 /   0   0   0  10
F10   73  96  75  97 /   0   0   0  10
HHW   71  97  74  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....06





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