Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 241953
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
253 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A beautiful late June day across the region with temperatures in
the upper 70s and low 80s, and light east to northeast winds.
Showers and thunderstorms that were ongoing this morning across
portions of southwest and southern Oklahoma have dissipated and
cloud cover is quickly clearing off if these areas. General
northwest flow aloft will allow these below to near normal
temperatures to continue over the next several days.

Upper level ridging currently in place over the Great Basin will
begin to break down early this week in response to a shortwave
trough moving towards the western coastline and a deeper trough
to the north approaching BC. A few mid-level shortwave troughs
moving through the flow may spark off some convection along the
higher terrain to the west, which will translate east with time.
Models have much of this convection dying off before it reaches
the CWA, but we could still see some remnants work their way into
the northwestern portion of the CWA. In addition, steep lapse
rates may allow for scattered afternoon activity each day through
mid-week, especially as those weak waves move through.

Storm chances increase late in the week with upper trough ejecting
out onto the northern plains. The associated front will push
southward through the Central Plains Friday and into Saturday with
showers and thunderstorms developing along the front. Trough will
quickly trek east and front looks to stall over the area providing
focus for another potential round of convection Saturday/Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   63  85  63  86 /   0   0  10  10
FSM   63  88  64  88 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   63  86  64  87 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   59  85  60  84 /  10   0  10  20
FYV   58  84  59  82 /   0   0  10  10
BYV   59  83  59  79 /  10   0  10  20
MKO   62  85  63  84 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   58  85  59  82 /  10   0  10  20
F10   61  85  63  85 /   0  10  10  10
HHW   67  86  66  87 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....11


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