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000
FNUS73 KMPX 241019
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Burman Rx...MNDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
519 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Burman Rx Burn, skies will be
mostly sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from west
to east midday. This will allow highs today to be in the upper
50s. Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity values
forecasted to be in the low 60s this morning before dropping into
the mid-low 30s by the afternoon. Winds will generally be
southeasterly at 5-10 MPH.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Widespread frost early in
                    the morning, then areas of frost early in the
                    morning.
Temperature.........32 at ignition...Max 58.
RH..................88 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1800 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /34100 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest
                    7 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....WID WID ARS
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............32  31  35  37  43  46  50  51  55  57  57  58
RH..............88  88  75  67  53  49  44  42  38  37  37  36
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.8 3.2 4.0 4.8 5.5 5.7 5.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   9   8   8   8   7   7   8   7   7   7
Haines index....2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Min 39.
RH..................Max 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (33300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (97500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph increasing to around 22 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dunleavy
Requested by...Kevin Berens
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412122.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.berens@state.mn.us