Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 281608
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
910 AM MST THU MAY 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT SEASONAL TEMPERATURES TODAY...THEN LOOK FOR A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY...THOUGH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST OVER FAR
NORTHERN AND EASTERN ARIZONA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. &&

.DISCUSSION... SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS NORTHERN AZ THIS MORNING.
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE.

.PREV DISCUSSION 430 AMTHE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT EXTENSIVE MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS TO THE REGION YESTERDAY HAS MOVED EAST OF THE STATE THIS
MORNING AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD ALSO BEGIN TO WARM UP AS A RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD ALONG THE
WEST COAST. THERE IS JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA.

ONE FINAL WEAK SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
NORTHERN AZ FRIDAY. THIS COULD BRING SOME AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS AND
EVEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH-BASED SHOWERS/STORMS OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...AGAIN MAINLY OVER FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA.

THE WEST COAST RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OVER ARIZONA THIS WEEKEND WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. JUST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM PERSISTS NEAR THE
WHITE MTNS. MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS
EASTWARD AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PAC NORTHWEST. WARM AND MAINLY
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR REGION...BUT DAYTIME WINDS
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WITH SPEEDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE AND
HIGHER GUSTS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH LIGHT WEST-SOUTHWEST BREEZES DURING THE DAYTIME
HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...EXPECT DRY AND WARMER WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE CONTINUED DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH ONLY THE SLIGHTEST CHANCES FOR BRIEF SHOWERS ALONG THE NEW
MEXICO BORDER REGION.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...41/JJ
AVIATION...KD
FIRE WEATHER...BOHLIN


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