Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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000
FXUS66 KMTR 010350
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
850 PM PDT WED AUG 31 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A broad upper level trough over the West Coast
will remain in place through at least the start of next week
and result in dry weather conditions along with temperatures
below seasonal averages.

&&

.DISCUSSION...as of 8:50 PM PDT Wednesday...Low clouds and patchy
fog are gradually redeveloping over the coastal waters, East Bay
and the northern Salinas Valley. Average temperatures were close
to normal for the last day of August. Tomorrow starts the first
day of meteorological fall season (Sep-Nov). Present forecast
looks good, no updates are anticipated this evening.

&&

.AVIATION...as of 4:55 PM PDT Wednesday...for 00z TAFs...The
stratus deck is attempting to reestablish itself along the coast
this afternoon with low clouds beginning to fill in along the
Marin, San Francisco coasts as well as over the Monterey
Peninsula. Models continue to indicate an early return is likely
tonight between 01z-04z. Have left the tempo groups in place for
the 00z package as an early return looks more and more promising.
Breezy onshore flow will continue through this evening then ease
overnight. Low to moderate confidence with respect to the timing
of the stratus.

Vicinity of KSFO... VFR. Breezy with sustained winds of 20 to 25
kt and gusts to 35 kt. MVFR cigs returning around 04z-05z this
evening. Low confidence on timing of the return.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to KSFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...MVFR to IFR cigs returning between 01z-
05z this evening. Moderate and locally gusty winds through this
evening. Winds easing overnight becoming light and variable. Low
confidence on timing of the return.

&&

.MARINE...as of 2:41 PM PDT Wednesday...Moderate to strong
northwest winds will persist through the remainder of the week.
the strongest winds are expected along the coast north of point
reyes and along the big sur coast. a mixed swell with steep fresh
northwest swell and a smaller longer period southerly swell.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
     .Tngt...SCA...Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm
             SCA...Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm
             SCA...Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm
             SCA...Pt Arena to Pigeon Pt 10-60 nm
             SCA...Pigeon Pt to Pt Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm
             SCA...SF Bay until 9 PM

&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST: Canepa
AVIATION: CW
MARINE: CW


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